Week 4 Fantasy Football Tiers

Week 4 Notes

This is a hot week to hit the waiver wire. It can be tough to cut players you drafted, but you should try to evaluate your team with feeling attached to any of your players. Patriots and Titans are on bye. Tiers update every hour.

Join the week 4 conversation on reddit.


Tier Charts

Standard - QB RB | WR | TE | Flex | K | DST
0.5 PPR   - 
RB | WR | TE | Flex 
PPR        - RB | WR | TE | Flex 


Introduction

In this fantasy football model, I take aggregated expert ranking data from Fantasypros.com and pass it into a statistical clustering algorithm called a Gaussian mixture model.  The algorithm finds players who are ranked similarly and discovers natural tiers within the data. The results is a series of simple charts that can help you decide your fantasy football line up each week. Match ups, injuries, strength of offense and defense are all accounted for. For more intuition behind the model, you can read this introduction.

Tips

(1) Favor higher tier players. 
(2) When choosing between players of the same tier, flip a coin or go with your gut. If experts are 50/50, there's no wrong choice.
(3) Fill your non-Flex positions first. Then use the Flex charts.