Thursday, September 18, 2014

Week 3 Tiers

In this model, I take aggregated expert ranking data from fantasypros.com and pass it into a clustering algorithm called the Gaussian mixture model.  The algorithm finds players who are ranked similarly and discovers natural tiers within the data. The results can be visualized on a series of charts that can help you decide your line up each week. 

Match ups, injuries, strength of offense and defense are all accounted for each week. For more intuition behind the model, you can read this introduction.

Tips:

(1) Always favor higher tier players. Tiers are probabilistic; the numbers vary, but roughly speaking: 

Player A is 1 tier higher than player B  = player A has a 60% chance of scoring more
Player A is 2 tiers higher than player B = player A has a 70% chance of scoring more
Player A is 3 tiers higher than player B = player A has a 80% chance of scoring more

(2) When choosing between players of the same tier, flip a coin or go with your gut. I also recommend diversifying your starters across games. /u/ChunkyDrummer had a good suggestion of going with the game with a higher vegas line.

(3) In depth commentary link: Fantasy Football: Week 3 Player Tiers

(4) To use the flex chart, fill in your RB, WR, and TE slots first.  Then, refer to the flex chart to find the best of your remaining options.


Charts will come out every Thursday.

Standard:

RB link: Standard - Running backs (note: Doug Martin out puts Rainey in tier 4)

(To avoid paywall issues, right click each > open in new tab from these links above. If you see Week 2 still, try deleting your cookies or private browsing mode.)


Standard Flex (only Flex25 - Flex85 are shown):


Tier 1: Vincent Jackson, Keenan Allen, Alshon Jeffery
Tier 2: Andre Ellington, Cordarrelle Patterson, Julian Edelman, Rashad Jennings, Pierre Garcon, C.J. Spiller, Rob Gronkowski, Joique Bell, Mike Wallace, Roddy White
Tier 3: Jeremy Maclin, Stevan Ridley
Tier 4: Frank Gore, Michael Crabtree, Emmanuel Sanders, Michael Floyd, Greg Olsen, Marques Colston, Terrance West
Tier 5: Shane Vereen, Reggie Wayne, Ty Hilton, Reggie Bush, Brandin Cooks, Larry Fitzgerald, Zach Ertz, Kelvin Benjamin
Tier 6: Chris Johnson, Sammy Watkins, Golden Tate
Tier 7: Antonio Gates, Martellus Bennett, Lamar Miller, Ahmad Bradshaw, Victor Cruz, Pierre Thomas
Tier 8: Doug Martin, DeSean Jackson
Tier 9: Bernard Pierce, Kendall Wright, Dennis Pitta, Donald Brown, Steve Smith, Darren Sproles, Kyle Rudolph, Vernon Davis
Tier 10: Torrey Smith, DeAndre Hopkins, Christopher Ivory, Brian Quick, Fred Jackson, Toby Gerhart, Eric Decker
Tier 11: Matt Asiata, Delanie Walker, Bobby Rainey, Khiry Robinson, Mohamed Sanu



PPR RB


Tier 1: DeMarco Murray, LeSean McCoy, Giovani Bernard
Tier 2: Marshawn Lynch, Arian Foster, Matt Forte, Le'Veon Bell
Tier 3: Knile Davis, Eddie Lacy, Montee Ball
Tier 4: Alfred Morris, Zac Stacy, Andre Ellington, Rashad Jennings, C.J. Spiller
Tier 5: Darren Sproles, Shane Vereen, Joique Bell, Reggie Bush
Tier 6: Frank Gore, Stevan Ridley, Terrance West, Pierre Thomas
Tier 7: Bobby Rainey
Tier 8: Lamar Miller, Chris Johnson, Matt Asiata, Ahmad Bradshaw, Doug Martin
Tier 9: Toby Gerhart, Bernard Pierce, Fred Jackson, Danny Woodhead
Tier 10: Donald Brown, Christopher Ivory, Darren McFadden
Tier 11: Steven Jackson, Trent Richardson, Khiry Robinson, Jonathan Stewart


PPR WR


Tier 1: Calvin Johnson, Jordy Nelson
Tier 2: Julio Jones, Demaryius Thomas, Dez Bryant, Randall Cobb, Brandon Marshall, Antonio Brown, Andre Johnson
Tier 3: Julian Edelman, Pierre Garcon, Percy Harvin, Roddy White, Keenan Allen, Vincent Jackson
Tier 4: Cordarrelle Patterson, Mike Wallace, Alshon Jeffery, Michael Crabtree
Tier 5: Emmanuel Sanders, Jeremy Maclin, Michael Floyd, Reggie Wayne, Marques Colston
Tier 6: Larry Fitzgerald, Victor Cruz, Ty Hilton, Kelvin Benjamin
Tier 7: Kendall Wright, Golden Tate, Brandin Cooks, Sammy Watkins
Tier 8: Mohamed Sanu, Steve Smith
Tier 9: Wes Welker, Eric Decker, Anquan Boldin, Brian Quick, Markus Wheaton, Andrew Hawkins, Greg Jennings, DeAndre Hopkins
Tier 10: Torrey Smith, James Jones, Justin Hunter, DeSean Jackson
Tier 11: Terrance Williams, Mike Evans, Dwayne Bowe
Tier 12: Marqise Lee, Robert Woods, Riley Cooper, Rueben Randle, Brian Hartline, Doug Baldwin
Tier 13: Hakeem Nicks, Jeremy Kerley, Harry Douglas, Miles Austin, Cecil Shorts


PPR TE


Tier 1: Jimmy Graham, Rob Gronkowski, Julius Thomas
Tier 2: Kyle Rudolph, Martellus Bennett, Antonio Gates, Greg Olsen
Tier 3: Zach Ertz, Niles Paul, Dennis Pitta
Tier 4: Delanie Walker, Jordan Cameron, Larry Donnell
Tier 5: Travis Kelce, Vernon Davis, Charles Clay, Jason Witten
Tier 6: Dwayne Allen, Jared Cook, Jermaine Gresham, Heath Miller
Tier 7: Owen Daniels, Ladarius Green, Coby Fleener, Brandon Myers, Garrett Graham

PPR Flex


Tier 1: Keenan Allen, Vincent Jackson, Cordarrelle Patterson, Mike Wallace, Montee Ball, Eddie Lacy, Michael Crabtree, Alshon Jeffery
Tier 2: Emmanuel Sanders, Alfred Morris, Zac Stacy, Andre Ellington, Jeremy Maclin, Reggie Wayne, Michael Floyd
Tier 3: Kyle Rudolph, Marques Colston, Martellus Bennett, Rashad Jennings, Larry Fitzgerald
Tier 4: C.J. Spiller, Victor Cruz, Kelvin Benjamin, Ty Hilton, Antonio Gates, Darren Sproles
Tier 5: Greg Olsen, Kendall Wright, Golden Tate, Brandin Cooks, Shane Vereen, Joique Bell, Sammy Watkins, Zach Ertz
Tier 6: Reggie Bush, Mohamed Sanu, Steve Smith, Niles Paul
Tier 7: Dennis Pitta, Anquan Boldin, Wes Welker, Eric Decker
Tier 8: Stevan Ridley, Frank Gore, Andrew Hawkins, Delanie Walker, Brian Quick, Markus Wheaton, DeAndre Hopkins, Greg Jennings, Terrance West, Jordan Cameron
Tier 9: James Jones, Pierre Thomas, Torrey Smith, Bobby Rainey
Tier 10: Justin Hunter, Larry Donnell, DeSean Jackson, Lamar Miller, Chris Johnson



HALF PPR RB


Tier 1: LeSean McCoy, DeMarco Murray, Giovani Bernard, Marshawn Lynch, Arian Foster, Matt Forte
Tier 2: Le'Veon Bell, Eddie Lacy, Alfred Morris, Knile Davis, Montee Ball, Zac Stacy
Tier 3: Andre Ellington, Rashad Jennings, C.J. Spiller
Tier 4: Shane Vereen, Joique Bell, Reggie Bush
Tier 5: Frank Gore, Stevan Ridley, Darren Sproles, Terrance West
Tier 6: Chris Johnson, Pierre Thomas, Lamar Miller, Ahmad Bradshaw, Bobby Rainey, Doug Martin, Bernard Pierce
Tier 7: Matt Asiata, Donald Brown, Toby Gerhart, Fred Jackson, Christopher Ivory
Tier 8: Khiry Robinson, Danny Woodhead, Steven Jackson, Darren McFadden, Trent Richardson, Jonathan Stewart


HALF PPR WR


Tier 1: Calvin Johnson, Jordy Nelson, Dez Bryant, Julio Jones, Demaryius Thomas, Brandon Marshall
Tier 2: Randall Cobb, Antonio Brown, Andre Johnson
Tier 3: Percy Harvin, Julian Edelman, Vincent Jackson, Pierre Garcon, Keenan Allen, Roddy White, Cordarrelle Patterson, Alshon Jeffery
Tier 4: Mike Wallace, Michael Crabtree
Tier 5: Jeremy Maclin, Emmanuel Sanders, Michael Floyd, Marques Colston, Reggie Wayne
Tier 6: Larry Fitzgerald, Ty Hilton, Kelvin Benjamin, Victor Cruz
Tier 7: Brandin Cooks, Golden Tate, Kendall Wright, Sammy Watkins
Tier 8: Steve Smith, Mohamed Sanu, Wes Welker, Eric Decker, Torrey Smith, Brian Quick, DeAndre Hopkins, DeSean Jackson
Tier 9: Anquan Boldin, Greg Jennings, Markus Wheaton, Justin Hunter, Andrew Hawkins, James Jones, Terrance Williams
Tier 10: Mike Evans, Dwayne Bowe
Tier 11: Rueben Randle, Riley Cooper, Marqise Lee
Tier 12: Robert Woods, Hakeem Nicks, Cecil Shorts, Jeremy Kerley, Doug Baldwin, Harry Douglas, Aaron Dobson, Brian Hartline


HALF PPR TE


Tier 1: Jimmy Graham, Julius Thomas, Rob Gronkowski
Tier 2: Greg Olsen, Kyle Rudolph, Martellus Bennett, Antonio Gates, Zach Ertz
Tier 3: Dennis Pitta, Niles Paul, Delanie Walker, Jordan Cameron, Vernon Davis
Tier 4: Larry Donnell, Travis Kelce, Jason Witten, Charles Clay
Tier 5: Dwayne Allen, Jared Cook, Heath Miller
Tier 6: Jermaine Gresham
Tier 7: Owen Daniels, Ladarius Green, Garrett Graham, Brandon Myers, Coby Fleener


HALF PPR FLEX


Tier 1: Julian Edelman, Keenan Allen, Pierre Garcon, Montee Ball, Roddy White, Zac Stacy, Cordarrelle Patterson, Alshon Jeffery
Tier 2: Mike Wallace, Andre Ellington
Tier 3: Michael Crabtree, C.J. Spiller, Jeremy Maclin, Rashad Jennings, Emmanuel Sanders
Tier 4: Michael Floyd, Marques Colston, Reggie Wayne
Tier 5: Larry Fitzgerald, Greg Olsen, Joique Bell, Ty Hilton, Shane Vereen, Kelvin Benjamin, Martellus Bennett
Tier 6: Victor Cruz, Brandin Cooks, Reggie Bush, Kyle Rudolph, Antonio Gates, Zach Ertz, Golden Tate, Stevan Ridley, Frank Gore, Kendall Wright
Tier 7: Sammy Watkins, Darren Sproles, Terrance West
Tier 8: Dennis Pitta, Steve Smith, Wes Welker
Tier 9: Chris Johnson, Mohamed Sanu, Pierre Thomas, Torrey Smith, DeSean Jackson, DeAndre Hopkins, Eric Decker, Lamar Miller, Brian Quick
Tier 10: Ahmad Bradshaw, Delanie Walker, Anquan Boldin, Bobby Rainey, Niles Paul, Doug Martin
Tier 11: Bernard Pierce, Greg Jennings, Markus Wheaton, Justin Hunter, Andrew Hawkins



Note: When a player of higher tier is ranked lower than a player of lower tier, this signals heavy disagreement and variance, and the player can be seen as in-between tiers.

Thursday, September 11, 2014

Week 2 Tiers

Here are your week 2 tiers. 

In this model, I take aggregated expert ranking data from fantasypros.com and pass it into a clustering algorithm called the Gaussian mixture model.  The algorithm finds players who are ranked similarly and discovers natural tiers within the data. The results can be visualized on a series of charts that can help you decide your line up each week. 

For more intuition behind the model, you can read this introduction.

Week 2 tips:

(1) Always stick with higher tier players.
(2) When choosing between players of the same tier, flip a coin or go with your gut.
(3) In depth commentary: Fantasy Football: Week 2 Player Tiers

Charts will come out every Thursday.

Standard:


(To avoid paywall issues, right click each > open in new tab from these links above)

Standard Flex (only Flex25 - Flex85 are shown):


Tier 1: Randall Cobb, Frank Gore, Roddy White, Vincent Jackson, Rob Gronkowski, Michael Floyd, Cordarrelle Patterson, Percy Harvin
Tier 2: Pierre Garcon
Tier 3: Emmanuel Sanders, C.J. Spiller, Larry Fitzgerald, Shane Vereen, Rashad Jennings, Toby Gerhart, Andre Ellington
Tier 4: NA, 
Tier 5: Victor Cruz, Jeremy Maclin, Vernon Davis, Keenan Allen, Chris Johnson, Mike Wallace, Zac Stacy, DeSean Jackson, Knowshon Moreno, Julian Edelman, Michael Crabtree, Doug Martin
Tier 6: Kendall Wright, Reggie Bush, Torrey Smith, Marques Colston, Greg Olsen, Reggie Wayne, Eric Decker, Ty Hilton
Tier 7: Brandin Cooks, Ryan Mathews
Tier 8: Kelvin Benjamin, Joique Bell, Jason Witten, Zach Ertz, Kyle Rudolph, Dennis Pitta, Jordan Cameron, Terrance West
Tier 9: Justin Hunter, Fred Jackson, Golden Tate, Mark Ingram
Tier 10: Terrance Williams, Pierre Thomas, Anquan Boldin, Steven Jackson, DeAndre Hopkins, Martellus Bennett, Shonn Greene
Tier 11: Greg Jennings, Markus Wheaton, Bernard Pierce, Charles Clay


PPR RB


Tier 1: LeSean McCoy, Adrian Peterson, Matt Forte
Tier 2: Jamaal Charles, Arian Foster, Giovani Bernard, DeMarco Murray, Marshawn Lynch, Montee Ball, Le'Veon Bell
Tier 3: Shane Vereen, Eddie Lacy, Reggie Bush
Tier 4: Alfred Morris, C.J. Spiller, Rashad Jennings, Andre Ellington
Tier 5: Frank Gore, Doug Martin, Zac Stacy, Chris Johnson, Toby Gerhart, Knowshon Moreno
Tier 6: Joique Bell, Pierre Thomas, Ryan Mathews
Tier 7: Terrance West, Fred Jackson, Darren Sproles, Mark Ingram
Tier 8: Shonn Greene, Steven Jackson, Justin Forsett, Bernard Pierce, Danny Woodhead, Trent Richardson, Maurice Jones-Drew, Lamar Miller
Tier 9: Christopher Ivory, Ahmad Bradshaw


PPR WR

Tier 1: Demaryius Thomas, Calvin Johnson, A.J. Green, Dez Bryant, Julio Jones, Brandon Marshall, Antonio Brown, Jordy Nelson, Andre Johnson
Tier 2: Randall Cobb, Roddy White, Pierre Garcon, Alshon Jeffery, Michael Floyd, Percy Harvin
Tier 3: Vincent Jackson, Cordarrelle Patterson, Larry Fitzgerald, Emmanuel Sanders, Julian Edelman, Kendall Wright, Victor Cruz
Tier 4: Mike Wallace, Michael Crabtree, Reggie Wayne, Keenan Allen, Eric Decker
Tier 5: Marques Colston, Jeremy Maclin, Torrey Smith, DeSean Jackson, Ty Hilton, Brandin Cooks, Kelvin Benjamin
Tier 6: Justin Hunter, Golden Tate, DeAndre Hopkins, Anquan Boldin, Markus Wheaton, Greg Jennings, Terrance Williams, Dwayne Bowe
Tier 7: Steve Smith
Tier 8: Andrew Hawkins, Riley Cooper, Marqise Lee, Rueben Randle, Sammy Watkins, Brian Hartline, Allen Hurns, Mike Evans, Doug Baldwin, Hakeem Nicks, Cecil Shorts
Tier 9: Robert Woods, Rod Streater, Andre Caldwell, Mohamed Sanu, Jarrett Boykin, Malcom Floyd


PPR TE

Tier 1: Jimmy Graham, Julius Thomas, Rob Gronkowski
Tier 2: Vernon Davis, Greg Olsen, Jordan Cameron, Dennis Pitta
Tier 3: Zach Ertz, Kyle Rudolph, Jason Witten
Tier 4: Martellus Bennett, Delanie Walker, Charles Clay, Heath Miller
Tier 5: Travis Kelce, Antonio Gates
Tier 6: Dwayne Allen, Niles Paul, Jared Cook, Larry Donnell
Tier 7: Marcedes Lewis, Jermaine Gresham, Ladarius Green
Tier 8: Brandon Myers, Coby Fleener, Eric Ebron


PPR Flex

Tier 1: Pierre Garcon, Alshon Jeffery, Michael Floyd, Percy Harvin
Tier 2: Vincent Jackson, Cordarrelle Patterson, Larry Fitzgerald, Emmanuel Sanders, Julian Edelman, Kendall Wright
Tier 3: Victor Cruz, Shane Vereen, Eddie Lacy, Mike Wallace, Vernon Davis, Michael Crabtree
Tier 4: Reggie Wayne, Greg Olsen, Reggie Bush, Marques Colston
Tier 5: Eric Decker, Keenan Allen, Jeremy Maclin, Jordan Cameron
Tier 6: Torrey Smith, Alfred Morris, DeSean Jackson, Rashad Jennings, C.J. Spiller, Ty Hilton, Dennis Pitta, Andre Ellington
Tier 7: Brandin Cooks, Frank Gore, Kelvin Benjamin
Tier 8: Jason Witten, Zach Ertz, Kyle Rudolph, Doug Martin
Tier 9: Zac Stacy, Golden Tate, Chris Johnson, Justin Hunter, Toby Gerhart, DeAndre Hopkins, Knowshon Moreno, Anquan Boldin
Tier 10: Greg Jennings, Terrance Williams, Markus Wheaton, Martellus Bennett
Tier 11: Pierre Thomas, Joique Bell, Steve Smith, Delanie Walker, Charles Clay, Terrance West, Andrew Hawkins
Tier 12: Ryan Mathews, Riley Cooper, Fred Jackson


Half PPR RB

Tier 1: LeSean McCoy, Adrian Peterson
Tier 2: Matt Forte, Jamaal Charles, Marshawn Lynch, Arian Foster, DeMarco Murray, Montee Ball, Giovani Bernard, Le'Veon Bell
Tier 3: Eddie Lacy, Alfred Morris, Shane Vereen, Frank Gore
Tier 4: C.J. Spiller, Rashad Jennings, Reggie Bush, Andre Ellington
Tier 5: Zac Stacy, Toby Gerhart, Chris Johnson, Doug Martin, Knowshon Moreno
Tier 6: Joique Bell, Ryan Mathews
Tier 7: Pierre Thomas, Terrance West, Fred Jackson, Mark Ingram
Tier 8: Steven Jackson, Bernard Pierce, Darren Sproles, Shonn Greene, Justin Forsett
Tier 9: Trent Richardson, Maurice Jones-Drew, Stevan Ridley, Lamar Miller, Christopher Ivory, Danny Woodhead


Half PPR WR

Tier 1: Calvin Johnson, Demaryius Thomas, A.J. Green, Dez Bryant, Julio Jones, Brandon Marshall
Tier 2: Antonio Brown, Jordy Nelson, Andre Johnson
Tier 3: Alshon Jeffery, Randall Cobb, Roddy White, Pierre Garcon, Michael Floyd, Vincent Jackson, Percy Harvin, Cordarrelle Patterson
Tier 4: Larry Fitzgerald, Emmanuel Sanders, Kendall Wright, Victor Cruz, Julian Edelman
Tier 5: Michael Crabtree, Keenan Allen, Mike Wallace, Jeremy Maclin, Torrey Smith, Reggie Wayne, Eric Decker, Marques Colston, DeSean Jackson
Tier 6: Ty Hilton, Brandin Cooks, Kelvin Benjamin
Tier 7: Justin Hunter, Golden Tate, Anquan Boldin, DeAndre Hopkins, Terrance Williams, Markus Wheaton, Greg Jennings, Dwayne Bowe
Tier 8: Steve Smith, Riley Cooper, Rueben Randle, Andrew Hawkins, Sammy Watkins, Marqise Lee, Mike Evans, Brian Hartline, Cecil Shorts
Tier 9: Allen Hurns, Hakeem Nicks, Doug Baldwin
Tier 10: Robert Woods, Rod Streater, Andre Caldwell, Mohamed Sanu, Kenny Britt, Jarrett Boykin


Half PPR TE

Tier 1: Jimmy Graham, Julius Thomas, Rob Gronkowski
Tier 2: Vernon Davis, Greg Olsen
Tier 3: Jordan Cameron, Dennis Pitta, Jason Witten, Zach Ertz, Kyle Rudolph
Tier 4: Martellus Bennett, Delanie Walker, Charles Clay
Tier 5: Heath Miller, Travis Kelce, Dwayne Allen, Antonio Gates
Tier 6: Niles Paul, Larry Donnell, Coby Fleener, Jared Cook, Ladarius Green, Jermaine Gresham, Marcedes Lewis
Tier 7: Brandon Myers, Eric Ebron


Half PPR Flex

Tier 1: Rob Gronkowski, Pierre Garcon, Michael Floyd, Vincent Jackson, Percy Harvin, Cordarrelle Patterson
Tier 2: Eddie Lacy, Larry Fitzgerald, Alfred Morris
Tier 3: Emmanuel Sanders, Victor Cruz, Kendall Wright, Frank Gore, Shane Vereen, Julian Edelman
Tier 4: Vernon Davis, Keenan Allen, C.J. Spiller, Mike Wallace, Reggie Bush, Michael Crabtree, Rashad Jennings
Tier 5: Jeremy Maclin, Greg Olsen, Eric Decker, Torrey Smith, Reggie Wayne, Marques Colston, DeSean Jackson, Andre Ellington
Tier 6: Zac Stacy, Ty Hilton, Toby Gerhart, Doug Martin, Jordan Cameron
Tier 7: Chris Johnson, Brandin Cooks
Tier 8: Jason Witten, Dennis Pitta, Knowshon Moreno, Kelvin Benjamin, Zach Ertz, Kyle Rudolph
Tier 9: Golden Tate, Justin Hunter, Joique Bell, DeAndre Hopkins, Anquan Boldin, Ryan Mathews, Terrance Williams, Martellus Bennett, Terrance West
Tier 10: Pierre Thomas, Greg Jennings, Markus Wheaton, Fred Jackson, Mark Ingram
Tier 11: Steve Smith, Charles Clay, Delanie Walker, Riley Cooper

Wednesday, September 3, 2014

Week 1 Tiers

Here are your week 1 tiers.

In this model, I take aggregated expert ranking data from fantasypros.com and pass it into a clustering algorithm called the Gaussian mixture model.  The algorithm finds players who are ranked similarly and discovers natural tiers within the data. The results can be visualized on a series of charts that can help you decide your line up each week.

For more intuition behind the model, you can read this introduction.

Week 1 tips:

(1) Always stick with higher tier players.
(2) When choosing between players of the same tier, diversify your starters across teams. Generally speaking, these are coin flip situations.
(3) Commentary on tiers - Link: Fantasy Football: Week 1 Player Tiers

Standard:


(To avoid paywall issues, right click each > open in new tab from these links above)

Standard Flex (only Flex25 - Flex85 are shown):


Tier 1: Larry Fitzgerald, Frank Gore, Victor Cruz, Vincent Jackson, Michael Crabtree
Tier 2: Alfred Morris, Roddy White, Le'Veon Bell, Randall Cobb, Keenan Allen, Doug Martin
Tier 3: Rob Gronkowski, Michael Floyd, Pierre Garcon, Percy Harvin
Tier 4: Toby Gerhart, Cordarrelle Patterson, C.J. Spiller, Torrey Smith, Emmanuel Sanders, Rashad Jennings
Tier 5: Jordan Cameron, Vernon Davis, Reggie Bush, Marques Colston, Eric Decker
Tier 6: Ben Tate, DeSean Jackson, Shane Vereen, Ty Hilton, Chris Johnson, Julian Edelman, Jeremy Maclin, Ryan Mathews
Tier 7: Joique Bell, Kendall Wright, Greg Olsen, Mike Wallace, Jason Witten
Tier 8: Golden Tate, Jordan Reed, Reggie Wayne
Tier 9: Steven Jackson, Terrance Williams, Dennis Pitta, Kyle Rudolph, Bernard Pierce
Tier 10: Fred Jackson, Zach Ertz, Pierre Thomas, Rueben Randle, Brandin Cooks, Kelvin Benjamin, Stevan Ridley
Tier 11: Cecil Shorts, Trent Richardson, Maurice Jones-Drew, Anquan Boldin, Martellus Bennett, DeAndre Hopkins, Riley Cooper


PPR RB



Tier 1: LeSean McCoy, Jamaal Charles, Matt Forte, Adrian Peterson, Montee Ball
Tier 2: Marshawn Lynch, Arian Foster, DeMarco Murray, Andre Ellington, Eddie Lacy, Giovani Bernard
Tier 3: Le'Veon Bell, Zac Stacy, Reggie Bush, Doug Martin
Tier 4: Shane Vereen, Rashad Jennings, C.J. Spiller, Frank Gore, Alfred Morris, Toby Gerhart
Tier 5: Chris Johnson, Joique Bell, Ryan Mathews, Ben Tate, Pierre Thomas
Tier 6: Bernard Pierce, Steven Jackson, Fred Jackson, Danny Woodhead
Tier 7: Darren Sproles, Maurice Jones-Drew, Trent Richardson, Knowshon Moreno, Lamar Miller, Mark Ingram, Stevan Ridley
Tier 8: Shonn Greene, Bishop Sankey, Dexter McCluster


PPR WR



Tier 1: Demaryius Thomas, Calvin Johnson, Dez Bryant, Brandon Marshall, A.J. Green, Julio Jones
Tier 2: Antonio Brown, Andre Johnson, Alshon Jeffery
Tier 3: Jordy Nelson, Victor Cruz, Larry Fitzgerald, Michael Crabtree, Pierre Garcon, Roddy White, Randall Cobb, Vincent Jackson, Keenan Allen, Michael Floyd
Tier 4: Percy Harvin, Julian Edelman, Kendall Wright, Eric Decker, Torrey Smith, Marques Colston, Emmanuel Sanders, Cordarrelle Patterson
Tier 5: Ty Hilton
Tier 6: Mike Wallace, Reggie Wayne, DeSean Jackson, Jeremy Maclin, Golden Tate
Tier 7: Terrance Williams, Cecil Shorts, Rueben Randle, Brian Hartline, DeAndre Hopkins, Anquan Boldin, Kelvin Benjamin, Brandin Cooks, Justin Hunter
Tier 8: Markus Wheaton, Riley Cooper, Greg Jennings, Sammy Watkins
Tier 9: Mike Evans, James Jones, Danny Amendola, Steve Smith, Doug Baldwin, Kenny Britt, Hakeem Nicks
Tier 10: Andrew Hawkins, Marqise Lee, Jarrett Boykin, Aaron Dobson, Rod Streater, Tavon Austin, Harry Douglas



PPR TE


Tier 1: Jimmy Graham, Julius Thomas, Rob Gronkowski
Tier 2: Jordan Cameron, Vernon Davis, Jordan Reed, Greg Olsen, Dennis Pitta, Jason Witten, Kyle Rudolph
Tier 3: Zach Ertz, Charles Clay, Martellus Bennett, Antonio Gates, Heath Miller
Tier 4: Travis Kelce, Delanie Walker, Dwayne Allen, Ladarius Green, Jared Cook, Tyler Eifert, Garrett Graham
Tier 5: Owen Daniels, Jace Amaro, Coby Fleener, Eric Ebron


PPR Flex



Tier 1: Andre Ellington, Roddy White, Rob Gronkowski, Pierre Garcon, Randall Cobb, Vincent Jackson
Tier 2: Keenan Allen, Michael Floyd, Giovani Bernard
Tier 3: Julian Edelman, Jordan Cameron, Percy Harvin, Le'Veon Bell, Kendall Wright, Zac Stacy
Tier 4: Torrey Smith, Cordarrelle Patterson, Eric Decker, Marques Colston, Emmanuel Sanders, Reggie Bush, Vernon Davis, Doug Martin, Jordan Reed
Tier 5: Ty Hilton, Greg Olsen, Mike Wallace, Shane Vereen, Reggie Wayne, Dennis Pitta
Tier 6: DeSean Jackson, Rashad Jennings, Jeremy Maclin, Jason Witten, C.J. Spiller, Alfred Morris, Kyle Rudolph, Frank Gore
Tier 7: Golden Tate, Toby Gerhart
Tier 8: Chris Johnson, Terrance Williams, Brian Hartline, Cecil Shorts, Joique Bell, Rueben Randle, Zach Ertz, Anquan Boldin, Kelvin Benjamin, Brandin Cooks, DeAndre Hopkins
Tier 9: Ryan Mathews, Ben Tate, Pierre Thomas, Martellus Bennett, Justin Hunter
Tier 10: Charles Clay, Riley Cooper, Markus Wheaton, Greg Jennings, Heath Miller




0.5 PPR RB



Tier 1: LeSean McCoy, Jamaal Charles, Matt Forte, Adrian Peterson, Montee Ball
Tier 2: Marshawn Lynch, Eddie Lacy, Arian Foster, DeMarco Murray
Tier 3: Giovani Bernard, Andre Ellington, Zac Stacy, Le'Veon Bell
Tier 4: Doug Martin, Alfred Morris, Reggie Bush
Tier 5: Rashad Jennings, C.J. Spiller, Shane Vereen, Frank Gore, Toby Gerhart
Tier 6: Ryan Mathews, Chris Johnson, Joique Bell, Ben Tate
Tier 7: Pierre Thomas, Steven Jackson, Bernard Pierce, Fred Jackson
Tier 8: Trent Richardson, Lamar Miller
Tier 9: Bishop Sankey, Stevan Ridley, Maurice Jones-Drew, Danny Woodhead
Tier 10: Knowshon Moreno, Darren Sproles, Mark Ingram, Shonn Greene, DeAngelo Williams


0.5 PPR WR


Tier 1: Calvin Johnson, Demaryius Thomas, Dez Bryant, Brandon Marshall, Julio Jones, A.J. Green
Tier 2: Alshon Jeffery, Antonio Brown, Andre Johnson, Jordy Nelson
Tier 3: Larry Fitzgerald, Victor Cruz, Michael Crabtree, Randall Cobb, Roddy White, Vincent Jackson, Pierre Garcon, Keenan Allen, Michael Floyd
Tier 4: Percy Harvin, Torrey Smith, Julian Edelman, Cordarrelle Patterson, Marques Colston, Eric Decker, Kendall Wright, Emmanuel Sanders, Ty Hilton
Tier 5: NA, 
Tier 6: Mike Wallace, DeSean Jackson, Jeremy Maclin, Reggie Wayne, Golden Tate
Tier 7: Terrance Williams, Cecil Shorts, Rueben Randle, Kelvin Benjamin, Brandin Cooks, Anquan Boldin, DeAndre Hopkins, Justin Hunter, Brian Hartline
Tier 8: Riley Cooper, Markus Wheaton, Sammy Watkins, Greg Jennings, Mike Evans
Tier 9: James Jones, Danny Amendola, Steve Smith, Kenny Britt, Doug Baldwin, Hakeem Nicks
Tier 10: Andrew Hawkins, Tavon Austin, Jarrett Boykin, Aaron Dobson, Mohamed Sanu, Harry Douglas, Marqise Lee



0.5 PPR TE



Tier 1: Jimmy Graham, Julius Thomas, Rob Gronkowski
Tier 2: Jordan Cameron, Vernon Davis, Jordan Reed, Greg Olsen
Tier 3: Dennis Pitta, Jason Witten, Kyle Rudolph
Tier 4: Zach Ertz, Charles Clay, Martellus Bennett
Tier 5: Heath Miller, Antonio Gates, Delanie Walker, Ladarius Green
Tier 6: Dwayne Allen, Travis Kelce, Jared Cook, Tyler Eifert, Garrett Graham
Tier 7: Coby Fleener, Eric Ebron
Tier 8: Jace Amaro, Timothy Wright


0.5 PPR Flex

Tier 1: Michael Crabtree, Giovani Bernard, Roddy White, Randall Cobb, Vincent Jackson, Keenan Allen, Zac Stacy, Rob Gronkowski, Pierre Garcon, Le'Veon Bell
Tier 2: Michael Floyd, Percy Harvin
Tier 3: Doug Martin, Torrey Smith, Jordan Cameron, Cordarrelle Patterson
Tier 4: Alfred Morris, Julian Edelman, Marques Colston, Emmanuel Sanders, Frank Gore, Reggie Bush, Kendall Wright, Eric Decker, Vernon Davis
Tier 5: Ty Hilton, Rashad Jennings, C.J. Spiller, Greg Olsen, Mike Wallace, Shane Vereen, Toby Gerhart, Jordan Reed
Tier 6: DeSean Jackson, Jeremy Maclin
Tier 7: Jason Witten, Reggie Wayne, Dennis Pitta, Chris Johnson, Kyle Rudolph, Golden Tate, Ben Tate, Joique Bell, Ryan Mathews
Tier 8: Terrance Williams, Cecil Shorts, Rueben Randle
Tier 9: Zach Ertz, Kelvin Benjamin, Brandin Cooks, Pierre Thomas, Anquan Boldin, Bernard Pierce, DeAndre Hopkins, Brian Hartline, Steven Jackson, Justin Hunter
Tier 10: Martellus Bennett, Fred Jackson, Riley Cooper, Charles Clay



Wednesday, August 27, 2014

Drafting by Tiers - 2014 Full Draft Kit

This will likely be the last update for the preseason -- very little has changed since last week.  Next week we'll be focusing on Week 1 charts.

Here is the full draft kit I personally use. There are three components, in order of importance: (a) the Google spreadsheet, (b) two charts for the top 180, and (c) six position specific charts.  The top 180 charts and spreadsheets are color synchronized.

(a) Boris Chen's Tiered Draft Sheet (copy and paste to your own)

(b) Top 200 Charts:


(c) Tiers by position:


An optional fourth component is fantasypros' compare players feature, on top of their outstanding data. Another nice tool to consider is Jay Zheng's draft aid.

Here are two complimentary articles with additional information:

Drafting a Fantasy Football Team, With Help From Advanced Statistics
Fantasy Football: Analyzing Draft Tiers With Advanced Statistics

Good luck everyone, and feel free to reach out to me on twitter @borisachen with questions, comments, or draft results.


Half PPR:




PPR:







Thursday, August 21, 2014

Top 200 - Preseason Update

Here is an update to the tier charts and sheets. I've tried to make this round colorblind friendly.  

Summary of the model: I apply a machine learning clustering algorithm called the Gaussian mixture model to an aggregation of expert ranking data provided by Fantasypros.  The algorithm finds natural tiers and clusters within the data. The charts that result visualize the tiers and can help you draft your team.

Here are the charts for each position (also updated today, 8/21):


The spreadsheet version is available here: Boris Chen's Top 200 Tiers - Google Spreadsheet

Here are some insights I've gathered from looking at the data: 

(1) Quarter back is deeper this year than last year.  Last year we had 12 solid quarterbacks, this year we have 15, going down to Ben Roethlisberger. This doesn't even include players like Tannehill who many have called as underrated this season.  Outside of the top three, there are high expectations from Stafford and Luck in tier 2.  If none of those top five drop to you, I would argue there is no need to look at quarterback until round 10 or 11, as at least some of the top 15 should should be available then.

(2) Running back looks thinner than last year.  We have 15-20 reliable starters, falling off at either Andre Ellington at 15 or Rashad Jennings at 20.  Last year we were looking at 22 solid running backs in the preseason.  If you don't get two of the top 20 this year, you should plan on grabbing a few extra in the mid rounds.

(3) Wide receiver appears to be deeper this year. The top 4 tiers (24 wide receivers) through Desean Jackson should be a lock for solid production.  I also expect around half of the tier 7 and tier 8 receivers to become solid WR3s.  

(4) Taking a look at expert accuracies on fantasypros, it's interesting to see kicker preseason/draft accuracy trump defense preseason accuracy.  This suggests that it may be worth considering taking K in round 14 and DST in round 15 (aside from the tier 1 DSTs).

Also, Jay Zheng has created a great draft tool based on this data which I am considering personally using, check it out here.


Top 200:


Tier 1: Jamaal Charles, LeSean McCoy, Adrian Peterson, Matt Forte, Eddie Lacy, Calvin Johnson
Tier 2: Jimmy Graham, Demaryius Thomas, Dez Bryant, Montee Ball, Marshawn Lynch, DeMarco Murray
Tier 3: A.J. Green, Julio Jones, Brandon Marshall, Giovani Bernard
Tier 4: Le'Veon Bell, Jordy Nelson, Arian Foster, Alfred Morris, Zac Stacy, Peyton Manning, Alshon Jeffery, Doug Martin, Antonio Brown
Tier 5: Aaron Rodgers, Andre Ellington, Drew Brees, Randall Cobb
Tier 6: Keenan Allen, Vincent Jackson, Toby Gerhart
Tier 7: Rob Gronkowski, Julius Thomas, Ryan Mathews, C.J. Spiller, Victor Cruz, Andre Johnson, Pierre Garcon, Roddy White
Tier 8: Larry Fitzgerald, Reggie Bush, Rashad Jennings
Tier 9: Michael Crabtree, Frank Gore, Joique Bell, Michael Floyd, Matthew Stafford
Tier 10: Cordarrelle Patterson, Torrey Smith, Wes Welker, Shane Vereen, Bishop Sankey, DeSean Jackson, Andrew Luck, Ben Tate, Percy Harvin

Tier 11: Jordan Cameron, Chris Johnson, Mike Wallace, Ray Rice, Matt Ryan, Vernon Davis, Ty Hilton, Lamar Miller, Trent Richardson, Nick Foles, Robert Griffin III, Kendall Wright, Cam Newton, Marques Colston, Tom Brady
Tier 12: Stevan Ridley, Jeremy Maclin, Tony Romo, Eric Decker, Steven Jackson, Julian Edelman
Tier 13: Terrance Williams, Golden Tate, Jason Witten, Colin Kaepernick, Pierre Thomas, Jay Cutler, Greg Olsen, Emmanuel Sanders, Fred Jackson, Reggie Wayne, Jordan Reed, Maurice Jones-Drew
Tier 14: Dennis Pitta, Sammy Watkins, Kyle Rudolph, Rueben Randle, Russell Wilson, Brandin Cooks, Bernard Pierce, Dwayne Bowe, Philip Rivers
Tier 15: Cecil Shorts, Mike Evans, Terrance West, DeAngelo Williams, Kelvin Benjamin, Zach Ertz, DeAndre Hopkins, Jeremy Hill, Ben Roethlisberger, Danny Woodhead, Justin Hunter
Tier 16: Riley Cooper, Anquan Boldin, Darren Sproles, Darren McFadden
Tier 17: Mark Ingram, Christopher Ivory, Martellus Bennett, Carlos Hyde, Hakeem Nicks, Greg Jennings, Tavon Austin, Charles Clay, Markus Wheaton, Andre Williams, Brian Hartline, Andy Dalton, Knowshon Moreno, Devonta Freeman, Seattle Seahawks
Tier 18: Kenny Stills, Ladarius Green, Ryan Tannehill, LeGarrette Blount, Carson Palmer, Aaron Dobson


Tier 16: Jordan Matthews, Jarrett Boykin, Danny Amendola, Ahmad Bradshaw, Doug Baldwin, Khiry Robinson, Shonn Greene, Jonathan Stewart, Christine Michael, Heath Miller, James Jones, Kenny Britt, Marvin Jones, Josh Gordon
Tier 17: Steve Smith, Alex Smith, Eli Manning, Delanie Walker, Dwayne Allen, Marqise Lee, Tyler Eifert, Antonio Gates, Josh McCown, San Francisco 49ers, Lance Dunbar, Andrew Hawkins, Rod Streater, Johnny Manziel, James White, Malcom Floyd
Tier 18: Joe Flacco, Knile Davis, Donald Brown, Eric Ebron, Robert Woods, Garrett Graham, Sam Bradford, St. Louis Rams, Carolina Panthers, James Starks, Jake Locker, Jared Cook, Mike Williams, Odell Beckham Jr., Roy Helu, Harry Douglas, Travis Kelce, Jerricho Cotchery, Ronnie Hillman, Tre Mason, Andre Holmes, Steve Johnson, Kenbrell Thompkins, Miles Austin
Tier 19: Denver Broncos, Cincinnati Bengals, Coby Fleener, Jonathan Grimes, Mike Tolbert, New England Patriots, C.J. Anderson, Bryce Brown, Dexter McCluster, Stepfan Taylor, Arizona Cardinals


Half PPR:

Tier 1: Jamaal Charles, LeSean McCoy, Matt Forte, Adrian Peterson, Calvin Johnson, Jimmy Graham, Eddie Lacy, Demaryius Thomas, Dez Bryant
Tier 2: DeMarco Murray, Montee Ball, A.J. Green, Marshawn Lynch, Julio Jones, Brandon Marshall, Giovani Bernard
Tier 3: Jordy Nelson, Le'Veon Bell, Antonio Brown, Andre Ellington, Zac Stacy, Arian Foster, Alshon Jeffery, Doug Martin
Tier 4: Randall Cobb, Peyton Manning
Tier 5: Alfred Morris, Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees, Pierre Garcon, Vincent Jackson, Reggie Bush, Julius Thomas, Andre Johnson, Keenan Allen, Victor Cruz, Rob Gronkowski, Ryan Mathews, Roddy White
Tier 6: C.J. Spiller, Larry Fitzgerald, Toby Gerhart, Rashad Jennings, Michael Crabtree
Tier 7: Wes Welker, Shane Vereen, Joique Bell, Matthew Stafford
Tier 8: Michael Floyd, Torrey Smith, Frank Gore, Cordarrelle Patterson, Ben Tate, Ray Rice
Tier 9: Chris Johnson, Andrew Luck, Bishop Sankey, Percy Harvin, Kendall Wright, DeSean Jackson, Mike Wallace, Ty Hilton, Julian Edelman, Vernon Davis, Lamar Miller, Jordan Cameron, Marques Colston
Tier 10: Nick Foles, Pierre Thomas, Matt Ryan

Tier 11: Eric Decker, Robert Griffin III, Trent Richardson, Cam Newton, Tom Brady, Jeremy Maclin, Steven Jackson
Tier 12: Jason Witten, Fred Jackson, Reggie Wayne, Golden Tate, Jordan Reed, Terrance Williams, Tony Romo, Maurice Jones-Drew, Dennis Pitta, Greg Olsen, Stevan Ridley, Danny Woodhead, Emmanuel Sanders, Colin Kaepernick, Jay Cutler
Tier 13: Rueben Randle, Kyle Rudolph, Sammy Watkins, Cecil Shorts, Dwayne Bowe, Bernard Pierce, Russell Wilson
Tier 14: Brandin Cooks, Philip Rivers, Darren Sproles, DeAndre Hopkins, Anquan Boldin, DeAngelo Williams, Riley Cooper, Kelvin Benjamin, Mike Evans, Terrance West, Brian Hartline, Zach Ertz, Ben Roethlisberger, Justin Hunter, Greg Jennings, Darren McFadden
Tier 15: Mark Ingram, Martellus Bennett, Charles Clay, Markus Wheaton, Knowshon Moreno, Jeremy Hill, Seattle Seahawks, Tavon Austin, Hakeem Nicks, Christopher Ivory, Devonta Freeman, Aaron Dobson
Tier 16: Steve Smith, Doug Baldwin, Carlos Hyde, Jarrett Boykin, Kenny Stills, Heath Miller, Andy Dalton, Jordan Matthews, Danny Amendola, Ahmad Bradshaw, Andre Williams, Marvin Jones, Jonathan Stewart

Tier 17: Josh Gordon
Tier 18: Shonn Greene, Ladarius Green, Kenny Britt, Christine Michael, Khiry Robinson, Lance Dunbar, James Jones, Marqise Lee, LeGarrette Blount, Delanie Walker, Rod Streater, Andrew Hawkins, Robert Woods, Antonio Gates, Ryan Tannehill, Roy Helu, Knile Davis, Dwayne Allen, Garrett Graham, Tyler Eifert, Jerricho Cotchery, Carson Palmer, Travis Kelce, Steve Johnson, Ronnie Hillman, Odell Beckham Jr., Donald Brown, Malcom Floyd, James Starks, Harry Douglas, Jonathan Grimes, Mike Tolbert, Eli Manning, Alex Smith, Josh McCown, Kenbrell Thompkins, Miles Austin, Johnny Manziel, Andre Brown, Mohamed Sanu
Tier 19: NA, 
Tier 20: Eric Ebron, Jared Cook, Mike Williams, Dexter McCluster, Andre Holmes, Jacquizz Rodgers, San Francisco 49ers, Tre Mason, Coby Fleener, C.J. Anderson, James White, Bryce Brown, St. Louis Rams, Cody Latimer, Carolina Panthers, Brandon LaFell, Jordan Todman, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Denarius Moore


PPR:

Tier 1: Jamaal Charles, LeSean McCoy, Matt Forte, Calvin Johnson, Adrian Peterson, Jimmy Graham, Demaryius Thomas, Dez Bryant
Tier 2: Eddie Lacy, DeMarco Murray, Montee Ball, A.J. Green, Giovani Bernard, Julio Jones, Brandon Marshall, Marshawn Lynch
Tier 3: Le'Veon Bell, Antonio Brown, Jordy Nelson, Andre Ellington, Alshon Jeffery, Arian Foster
Tier 4: Zac Stacy, Randall Cobb, Doug Martin, Reggie Bush, Pierre Garcon, Andre Johnson, Rob Gronkowski, Peyton Manning, Julius Thomas
Tier 5: Vincent Jackson, Victor Cruz, Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees, Roddy White, Keenan Allen, Ryan Mathews, Alfred Morris
Tier 6: Michael Crabtree, C.J. Spiller, Rashad Jennings, Shane Vereen, Larry Fitzgerald, Wes Welker
Tier 7: Toby Gerhart, Joique Bell
Tier 8: Michael Floyd, Ray Rice, Cordarrelle Patterson, Matthew Stafford, Torrey Smith, Kendall Wright, Ben Tate, Chris Johnson, Julian Edelman
Tier 9: Bishop Sankey, Percy Harvin, Mike Wallace, Pierre Thomas, Lamar Miller, DeSean Jackson, Ty Hilton, Andrew Luck, Frank Gore, Jordan Cameron
Tier 10: Marques Colston, Vernon Davis, Eric Decker, Danny Woodhead

Tier 11: Nick Foles, Trent Richardson, Matt Ryan, Dennis Pitta, Reggie Wayne, Jason Witten, Jeremy Maclin, Fred Jackson, Robert Griffin III, Jordan Reed, Tom Brady, Terrance Williams, Cam Newton, Golden Tate, Greg Olsen, Steven Jackson, Emmanuel Sanders
Tier 12: Maurice Jones-Drew, Stevan Ridley, Kyle Rudolph, Tony Romo, Darren Sproles, Rueben Randle, Sammy Watkins, Dwayne Bowe, Bernard Pierce, Colin Kaepernick, Cecil Shorts, Jay Cutler
Tier 13: Brandin Cooks, DeAndre Hopkins
Tier 14: Brian Hartline, Russell Wilson, DeAngelo Williams, Philip Rivers, Anquan Boldin, Mike Evans, Riley Cooper, Kelvin Benjamin, Greg Jennings, Zach Ertz, Darren McFadden, Terrance West, Justin Hunter
Tier 15: Seattle Seahawks, Knowshon Moreno, Markus Wheaton, Charles Clay, Martellus Bennett, Ben Roethlisberger, Tavon Austin, Doug Baldwin, Devonta Freeman, Mark Ingram, Jarrett Boykin, Steve Smith, Jeremy Hill, Hakeem Nicks
Tier 16: Aaron Dobson, Christopher Ivory, Heath Miller, Danny Amendola, Marvin Jones, Jordan Matthews, Kenny Stills, Carlos Hyde, Lance Dunbar, Ahmad Bradshaw, Marqise Lee, James Jones

Tier 17: Rod Streater, Ladarius Green, Andrew Hawkins, Andy Dalton, Andre Williams, Delanie Walker, Khiry Robinson, Robert Woods, Kenny Britt, Christine Michael, Shonn Greene, Jonathan Stewart, Knile Davis, Roy Helu, Josh Gordon
Tier 18: NA, 
Tier 19: Antonio Gates, Garrett Graham, Jerricho Cotchery, LeGarrette Blount, Harry Douglas, Tyler Eifert, Jared Cook, Dexter McCluster, Steve Johnson, Mike Williams, Odell Beckham Jr., Dwayne Allen, Ryan Tannehill, Eric Ebron, Jacquizz Rodgers, Travis Kelce, Ronnie Hillman, Andre Holmes, Malcom Floyd, Carson Palmer, Jonathan Grimes, Miles Austin, Kenbrell Thompkins, St. Louis Rams, Owen Daniels, Andre Brown
Tier 20: Bryce Brown, Mohamed Sanu
Tier 21: Donald Brown, Mike Tolbert, James Starks, Tre Mason, James White, Cody Latimer, San Francisco 49ers, Alex Smith, Eli Manning, C.J. Anderson, Lance Moore, Nate Washington, Brandon LaFell, Coby Fleener, Carolina Panthers, Charles Sims, Denarius Moore