Week 3 Notes
It is still too early to drop most players taken in the first 10 rounds of the draft. Daily fantasy analysis coming soon.
Tier Charts
Standard - QB | RB | WR | TE | Flex | K | DST
0.5 PPR - RB | WR | TE | Flex
PPR - RB | WR | TE | Flex
Introduction
In this fantasy football model, I take aggregated expert ranking data from Fantasypros.com and pass it into a statistical clustering algorithm called a Gaussian mixture model. The algorithm finds players who are ranked similarly and discovers natural tiers within the data. The results is a series of simple charts that can help you decide your fantasy football line up each week. Match ups, injuries, strength of offense and defense are all accounted for. For more intuition behind the model, you can read this introduction.
Tips
(1) Favor higher tier players.
(2) When choosing between players of the same tier, flip a coin or go with your gut. If experts are 50/50, there's no wrong choice.
(3) Fill your non-Flex positions first. Then use the Flex charts.
Introduction
In this fantasy football model, I take aggregated expert ranking data from Fantasypros.com and pass it into a statistical clustering algorithm called a Gaussian mixture model. The algorithm finds players who are ranked similarly and discovers natural tiers within the data. The results is a series of simple charts that can help you decide your fantasy football line up each week. Match ups, injuries, strength of offense and defense are all accounted for. For more intuition behind the model, you can read this introduction.
Tips
(1) Favor higher tier players.
(2) When choosing between players of the same tier, flip a coin or go with your gut. If experts are 50/50, there's no wrong choice.
(3) Fill your non-Flex positions first. Then use the Flex charts.
