Match ups, injuries, strength of offense and defense are all accounted for each week. For more intuition behind the model, you can read this introduction.
Tips:
(1) Always favor higher tier players. Tiers are probabilistic; the numbers vary, but roughly speaking:
Player A is 1 tier higher than player B = player A has a 60% chance of scoring more
Player A is 2 tiers higher than player B = player A has a 70% chance of scoring more
Player A is 3 tiers higher than player B = player A has a 80% chance of scoring more
(2) When choosing between players of the same tier, flip a coin or go with your gut. I also recommend diversifying your starters across games. /u/ChunkyDrummer had a good suggestion of going with the game with a higher vegas line.
(3) In depth commentary link: Fantasy Football: Week 3 Player Tiers
(4) To use the flex chart, fill in your RB, WR, and TE slots first. Then, refer to the flex chart to find the best of your remaining options.
Charts will come out every Thursday.
Standard:
QB link: Standard - Quarterbacks
RB link: Standard - Running backs (note: Doug Martin out puts Rainey in tier 4)
WR link: Standard - Wide Receivers
TE link: Standard - Tight Ends
K link: Standard - Kickers
DST link: Standard - Defense and special teams
(To avoid paywall issues, right click each > open in new tab from these links above. If you see Week 2 still, try deleting your cookies or private browsing mode.)
Standard Flex (only Flex25 - Flex85 are shown):
Tier 2: Andre Ellington, Cordarrelle Patterson, Julian Edelman, Rashad Jennings, Pierre Garcon, C.J. Spiller, Rob Gronkowski, Joique Bell, Mike Wallace, Roddy White
Tier 3: Jeremy Maclin, Stevan Ridley
Tier 4: Frank Gore, Michael Crabtree, Emmanuel Sanders, Michael Floyd, Greg Olsen, Marques Colston, Terrance West
Tier 5: Shane Vereen, Reggie Wayne, Ty Hilton, Reggie Bush, Brandin Cooks, Larry Fitzgerald, Zach Ertz, Kelvin Benjamin
Tier 6: Chris Johnson, Sammy Watkins, Golden Tate
Tier 7: Antonio Gates, Martellus Bennett, Lamar Miller, Ahmad Bradshaw, Victor Cruz, Pierre Thomas
Tier 8: Doug Martin, DeSean Jackson
Tier 9: Bernard Pierce, Kendall Wright, Dennis Pitta, Donald Brown, Steve Smith, Darren Sproles, Kyle Rudolph, Vernon Davis
Tier 10: Torrey Smith, DeAndre Hopkins, Christopher Ivory, Brian Quick, Fred Jackson, Toby Gerhart, Eric Decker
Tier 11: Matt Asiata, Delanie Walker, Bobby Rainey, Khiry Robinson, Mohamed Sanu
PPR RB
Tier 2: Marshawn Lynch, Arian Foster, Matt Forte, Le'Veon Bell
Tier 3: Knile Davis, Eddie Lacy, Montee Ball
Tier 4: Alfred Morris, Zac Stacy, Andre Ellington, Rashad Jennings, C.J. Spiller
Tier 5: Darren Sproles, Shane Vereen, Joique Bell, Reggie Bush
Tier 6: Frank Gore, Stevan Ridley, Terrance West, Pierre Thomas
Tier 7: Bobby Rainey
Tier 8: Lamar Miller, Chris Johnson, Matt Asiata, Ahmad Bradshaw, Doug Martin
Tier 9: Toby Gerhart, Bernard Pierce, Fred Jackson, Danny Woodhead
Tier 10: Donald Brown, Christopher Ivory, Darren McFadden
Tier 11: Steven Jackson, Trent Richardson, Khiry Robinson, Jonathan Stewart
PPR WR
Tier 1: Calvin Johnson, Jordy Nelson
Tier 2: Julio Jones, Demaryius Thomas, Dez Bryant, Randall Cobb, Brandon Marshall, Antonio Brown, Andre Johnson
Tier 3: Julian Edelman, Pierre Garcon, Percy Harvin, Roddy White, Keenan Allen, Vincent Jackson
Tier 4: Cordarrelle Patterson, Mike Wallace, Alshon Jeffery, Michael Crabtree
Tier 5: Emmanuel Sanders, Jeremy Maclin, Michael Floyd, Reggie Wayne, Marques Colston
Tier 6: Larry Fitzgerald, Victor Cruz, Ty Hilton, Kelvin Benjamin
Tier 7: Kendall Wright, Golden Tate, Brandin Cooks, Sammy Watkins
Tier 8: Mohamed Sanu, Steve Smith
Tier 9: Wes Welker, Eric Decker, Anquan Boldin, Brian Quick, Markus Wheaton, Andrew Hawkins, Greg Jennings, DeAndre Hopkins
Tier 10: Torrey Smith, James Jones, Justin Hunter, DeSean Jackson
Tier 11: Terrance Williams, Mike Evans, Dwayne Bowe
Tier 12: Marqise Lee, Robert Woods, Riley Cooper, Rueben Randle, Brian Hartline, Doug Baldwin
Tier 13: Hakeem Nicks, Jeremy Kerley, Harry Douglas, Miles Austin, Cecil Shorts
Tier 2: Kyle Rudolph, Martellus Bennett, Antonio Gates, Greg Olsen
Tier 3: Zach Ertz, Niles Paul, Dennis Pitta
Tier 4: Delanie Walker, Jordan Cameron, Larry Donnell
Tier 5: Travis Kelce, Vernon Davis, Charles Clay, Jason Witten
Tier 6: Dwayne Allen, Jared Cook, Jermaine Gresham, Heath Miller
Tier 7: Owen Daniels, Ladarius Green, Coby Fleener, Brandon Myers, Garrett Graham
PPR Flex
Tier 2: Emmanuel Sanders, Alfred Morris, Zac Stacy, Andre Ellington, Jeremy Maclin, Reggie Wayne, Michael Floyd
Tier 3: Kyle Rudolph, Marques Colston, Martellus Bennett, Rashad Jennings, Larry Fitzgerald
Tier 4: C.J. Spiller, Victor Cruz, Kelvin Benjamin, Ty Hilton, Antonio Gates, Darren Sproles
Tier 5: Greg Olsen, Kendall Wright, Golden Tate, Brandin Cooks, Shane Vereen, Joique Bell, Sammy Watkins, Zach Ertz
Tier 6: Reggie Bush, Mohamed Sanu, Steve Smith, Niles Paul
Tier 7: Dennis Pitta, Anquan Boldin, Wes Welker, Eric Decker
Tier 8: Stevan Ridley, Frank Gore, Andrew Hawkins, Delanie Walker, Brian Quick, Markus Wheaton, DeAndre Hopkins, Greg Jennings, Terrance West, Jordan Cameron
Tier 9: James Jones, Pierre Thomas, Torrey Smith, Bobby Rainey
Tier 10: Justin Hunter, Larry Donnell, DeSean Jackson, Lamar Miller, Chris Johnson
HALF PPR RB
Tier 2: Le'Veon Bell, Eddie Lacy, Alfred Morris, Knile Davis, Montee Ball, Zac Stacy
Tier 3: Andre Ellington, Rashad Jennings, C.J. Spiller
Tier 4: Shane Vereen, Joique Bell, Reggie Bush
Tier 5: Frank Gore, Stevan Ridley, Darren Sproles, Terrance West
Tier 6: Chris Johnson, Pierre Thomas, Lamar Miller, Ahmad Bradshaw, Bobby Rainey, Doug Martin, Bernard Pierce
Tier 7: Matt Asiata, Donald Brown, Toby Gerhart, Fred Jackson, Christopher Ivory
Tier 8: Khiry Robinson, Danny Woodhead, Steven Jackson, Darren McFadden, Trent Richardson, Jonathan Stewart
HALF PPR WR
Tier 1: Calvin Johnson, Jordy Nelson, Dez Bryant, Julio Jones, Demaryius Thomas, Brandon Marshall
Tier 2: Randall Cobb, Antonio Brown, Andre Johnson
Tier 3: Percy Harvin, Julian Edelman, Vincent Jackson, Pierre Garcon, Keenan Allen, Roddy White, Cordarrelle Patterson, Alshon Jeffery
Tier 4: Mike Wallace, Michael Crabtree
Tier 5: Jeremy Maclin, Emmanuel Sanders, Michael Floyd, Marques Colston, Reggie Wayne
Tier 6: Larry Fitzgerald, Ty Hilton, Kelvin Benjamin, Victor Cruz
Tier 7: Brandin Cooks, Golden Tate, Kendall Wright, Sammy Watkins
Tier 8: Steve Smith, Mohamed Sanu, Wes Welker, Eric Decker, Torrey Smith, Brian Quick, DeAndre Hopkins, DeSean Jackson
Tier 9: Anquan Boldin, Greg Jennings, Markus Wheaton, Justin Hunter, Andrew Hawkins, James Jones, Terrance Williams
Tier 10: Mike Evans, Dwayne Bowe
Tier 11: Rueben Randle, Riley Cooper, Marqise Lee
Tier 12: Robert Woods, Hakeem Nicks, Cecil Shorts, Jeremy Kerley, Doug Baldwin, Harry Douglas, Aaron Dobson, Brian Hartline
HALF PPR TE
Tier 2: Greg Olsen, Kyle Rudolph, Martellus Bennett, Antonio Gates, Zach Ertz
Tier 3: Dennis Pitta, Niles Paul, Delanie Walker, Jordan Cameron, Vernon Davis
Tier 4: Larry Donnell, Travis Kelce, Jason Witten, Charles Clay
Tier 5: Dwayne Allen, Jared Cook, Heath Miller
Tier 6: Jermaine Gresham
Tier 7: Owen Daniels, Ladarius Green, Garrett Graham, Brandon Myers, Coby Fleener
HALF PPR FLEX
Tier 1: Julian Edelman, Keenan Allen, Pierre Garcon, Montee Ball, Roddy White, Zac Stacy, Cordarrelle Patterson, Alshon Jeffery
Tier 2: Mike Wallace, Andre Ellington
Tier 3: Michael Crabtree, C.J. Spiller, Jeremy Maclin, Rashad Jennings, Emmanuel Sanders
Tier 4: Michael Floyd, Marques Colston, Reggie Wayne
Tier 5: Larry Fitzgerald, Greg Olsen, Joique Bell, Ty Hilton, Shane Vereen, Kelvin Benjamin, Martellus Bennett
Tier 6: Victor Cruz, Brandin Cooks, Reggie Bush, Kyle Rudolph, Antonio Gates, Zach Ertz, Golden Tate, Stevan Ridley, Frank Gore, Kendall Wright
Tier 7: Sammy Watkins, Darren Sproles, Terrance West
Tier 8: Dennis Pitta, Steve Smith, Wes Welker
Tier 9: Chris Johnson, Mohamed Sanu, Pierre Thomas, Torrey Smith, DeSean Jackson, DeAndre Hopkins, Eric Decker, Lamar Miller, Brian Quick
Tier 10: Ahmad Bradshaw, Delanie Walker, Anquan Boldin, Bobby Rainey, Niles Paul, Doug Martin
Tier 11: Bernard Pierce, Greg Jennings, Markus Wheaton, Justin Hunter, Andrew Hawkins
Note: When a player of higher tier is ranked lower than a player of lower tier, this signals heavy disagreement and variance, and the player can be seen as in-between tiers.
Note: When a player of higher tier is ranked lower than a player of lower tier, this signals heavy disagreement and variance, and the player can be seen as in-between tiers.
