In this model, I take aggregated expert ranking data from fantasypros.com and pass it into a clustering algorithm called the Gaussian mixture model. The algorithm finds players who are ranked similarly and discovers natural tiers within the data. The results can be visualized on a series of charts that can help you decide your line up each week.
For more intuition behind the model, you can read this introduction.
Week 2 tips:
(1) Always stick with higher tier players.
(2) When choosing between players of the same tier, flip a coin or go with your gut.
(3) In depth commentary: Fantasy Football: Week 2 Player Tiers
Charts will come out every Thursday.
Standard:
(To avoid paywall issues, right click each > open in new tab from these links above)
Standard Flex (only Flex25 - Flex85 are shown):
Tier 2: Pierre Garcon
Tier 3: Emmanuel Sanders, C.J. Spiller, Larry Fitzgerald, Shane Vereen, Rashad Jennings, Toby Gerhart, Andre Ellington
Tier 4: NA,
Tier 5: Victor Cruz, Jeremy Maclin, Vernon Davis, Keenan Allen, Chris Johnson, Mike Wallace, Zac Stacy, DeSean Jackson, Knowshon Moreno, Julian Edelman, Michael Crabtree, Doug Martin
Tier 6: Kendall Wright, Reggie Bush, Torrey Smith, Marques Colston, Greg Olsen, Reggie Wayne, Eric Decker, Ty Hilton
Tier 7: Brandin Cooks, Ryan Mathews
Tier 8: Kelvin Benjamin, Joique Bell, Jason Witten, Zach Ertz, Kyle Rudolph, Dennis Pitta, Jordan Cameron, Terrance West
Tier 9: Justin Hunter, Fred Jackson, Golden Tate, Mark Ingram
Tier 10: Terrance Williams, Pierre Thomas, Anquan Boldin, Steven Jackson, DeAndre Hopkins, Martellus Bennett, Shonn Greene
Tier 11: Greg Jennings, Markus Wheaton, Bernard Pierce, Charles Clay
PPR RB
Tier 1: LeSean McCoy, Adrian Peterson, Matt Forte
Tier 2: Jamaal Charles, Arian Foster, Giovani Bernard, DeMarco Murray, Marshawn Lynch, Montee Ball, Le'Veon Bell
Tier 3: Shane Vereen, Eddie Lacy, Reggie Bush
Tier 4: Alfred Morris, C.J. Spiller, Rashad Jennings, Andre Ellington
Tier 5: Frank Gore, Doug Martin, Zac Stacy, Chris Johnson, Toby Gerhart, Knowshon Moreno
Tier 6: Joique Bell, Pierre Thomas, Ryan Mathews
Tier 7: Terrance West, Fred Jackson, Darren Sproles, Mark Ingram
Tier 8: Shonn Greene, Steven Jackson, Justin Forsett, Bernard Pierce, Danny Woodhead, Trent Richardson, Maurice Jones-Drew, Lamar Miller
Tier 9: Christopher Ivory, Ahmad Bradshaw
Tier 1: Demaryius Thomas, Calvin Johnson, A.J. Green, Dez Bryant, Julio Jones, Brandon Marshall, Antonio Brown, Jordy Nelson, Andre Johnson
Tier 2: Randall Cobb, Roddy White, Pierre Garcon, Alshon Jeffery, Michael Floyd, Percy Harvin
Tier 3: Vincent Jackson, Cordarrelle Patterson, Larry Fitzgerald, Emmanuel Sanders, Julian Edelman, Kendall Wright, Victor Cruz
Tier 4: Mike Wallace, Michael Crabtree, Reggie Wayne, Keenan Allen, Eric Decker
Tier 5: Marques Colston, Jeremy Maclin, Torrey Smith, DeSean Jackson, Ty Hilton, Brandin Cooks, Kelvin Benjamin
Tier 6: Justin Hunter, Golden Tate, DeAndre Hopkins, Anquan Boldin, Markus Wheaton, Greg Jennings, Terrance Williams, Dwayne Bowe
Tier 7: Steve Smith
Tier 8: Andrew Hawkins, Riley Cooper, Marqise Lee, Rueben Randle, Sammy Watkins, Brian Hartline, Allen Hurns, Mike Evans, Doug Baldwin, Hakeem Nicks, Cecil Shorts
Tier 9: Robert Woods, Rod Streater, Andre Caldwell, Mohamed Sanu, Jarrett Boykin, Malcom Floyd
Tier 1: Jimmy Graham, Julius Thomas, Rob Gronkowski
Tier 2: Vernon Davis, Greg Olsen, Jordan Cameron, Dennis Pitta
Tier 3: Zach Ertz, Kyle Rudolph, Jason Witten
Tier 4: Martellus Bennett, Delanie Walker, Charles Clay, Heath Miller
Tier 5: Travis Kelce, Antonio Gates
Tier 6: Dwayne Allen, Niles Paul, Jared Cook, Larry Donnell
Tier 7: Marcedes Lewis, Jermaine Gresham, Ladarius Green
Tier 8: Brandon Myers, Coby Fleener, Eric Ebron
PPR Flex
Tier 1: Pierre Garcon, Alshon Jeffery, Michael Floyd, Percy Harvin
Tier 2: Vincent Jackson, Cordarrelle Patterson, Larry Fitzgerald, Emmanuel Sanders, Julian Edelman, Kendall Wright
Tier 3: Victor Cruz, Shane Vereen, Eddie Lacy, Mike Wallace, Vernon Davis, Michael Crabtree
Tier 4: Reggie Wayne, Greg Olsen, Reggie Bush, Marques Colston
Tier 5: Eric Decker, Keenan Allen, Jeremy Maclin, Jordan Cameron
Tier 6: Torrey Smith, Alfred Morris, DeSean Jackson, Rashad Jennings, C.J. Spiller, Ty Hilton, Dennis Pitta, Andre Ellington
Tier 7: Brandin Cooks, Frank Gore, Kelvin Benjamin
Tier 8: Jason Witten, Zach Ertz, Kyle Rudolph, Doug Martin
Tier 9: Zac Stacy, Golden Tate, Chris Johnson, Justin Hunter, Toby Gerhart, DeAndre Hopkins, Knowshon Moreno, Anquan Boldin
Tier 10: Greg Jennings, Terrance Williams, Markus Wheaton, Martellus Bennett
Tier 11: Pierre Thomas, Joique Bell, Steve Smith, Delanie Walker, Charles Clay, Terrance West, Andrew Hawkins
Tier 12: Ryan Mathews, Riley Cooper, Fred Jackson
Half PPR RB
Tier 2: Matt Forte, Jamaal Charles, Marshawn Lynch, Arian Foster, DeMarco Murray, Montee Ball, Giovani Bernard, Le'Veon Bell
Tier 3: Eddie Lacy, Alfred Morris, Shane Vereen, Frank Gore
Tier 4: C.J. Spiller, Rashad Jennings, Reggie Bush, Andre Ellington
Tier 5: Zac Stacy, Toby Gerhart, Chris Johnson, Doug Martin, Knowshon Moreno
Tier 6: Joique Bell, Ryan Mathews
Tier 7: Pierre Thomas, Terrance West, Fred Jackson, Mark Ingram
Tier 8: Steven Jackson, Bernard Pierce, Darren Sproles, Shonn Greene, Justin Forsett
Tier 9: Trent Richardson, Maurice Jones-Drew, Stevan Ridley, Lamar Miller, Christopher Ivory, Danny Woodhead
Half PPR WR
Tier 1: Calvin Johnson, Demaryius Thomas, A.J. Green, Dez Bryant, Julio Jones, Brandon Marshall
Tier 2: Antonio Brown, Jordy Nelson, Andre Johnson
Tier 3: Alshon Jeffery, Randall Cobb, Roddy White, Pierre Garcon, Michael Floyd, Vincent Jackson, Percy Harvin, Cordarrelle Patterson
Tier 4: Larry Fitzgerald, Emmanuel Sanders, Kendall Wright, Victor Cruz, Julian Edelman
Tier 5: Michael Crabtree, Keenan Allen, Mike Wallace, Jeremy Maclin, Torrey Smith, Reggie Wayne, Eric Decker, Marques Colston, DeSean Jackson
Tier 6: Ty Hilton, Brandin Cooks, Kelvin Benjamin
Tier 7: Justin Hunter, Golden Tate, Anquan Boldin, DeAndre Hopkins, Terrance Williams, Markus Wheaton, Greg Jennings, Dwayne Bowe
Tier 8: Steve Smith, Riley Cooper, Rueben Randle, Andrew Hawkins, Sammy Watkins, Marqise Lee, Mike Evans, Brian Hartline, Cecil Shorts
Tier 9: Allen Hurns, Hakeem Nicks, Doug Baldwin
Tier 10: Robert Woods, Rod Streater, Andre Caldwell, Mohamed Sanu, Kenny Britt, Jarrett Boykin
Half PPR TE
Tier 1: Jimmy Graham, Julius Thomas, Rob Gronkowski
Tier 2: Vernon Davis, Greg Olsen
Tier 3: Jordan Cameron, Dennis Pitta, Jason Witten, Zach Ertz, Kyle Rudolph
Tier 4: Martellus Bennett, Delanie Walker, Charles Clay
Tier 5: Heath Miller, Travis Kelce, Dwayne Allen, Antonio Gates
Tier 6: Niles Paul, Larry Donnell, Coby Fleener, Jared Cook, Ladarius Green, Jermaine Gresham, Marcedes Lewis
Tier 7: Brandon Myers, Eric Ebron
Half PPR Flex
Tier 1: Rob Gronkowski, Pierre Garcon, Michael Floyd, Vincent Jackson, Percy Harvin, Cordarrelle Patterson
Tier 2: Eddie Lacy, Larry Fitzgerald, Alfred Morris
Tier 3: Emmanuel Sanders, Victor Cruz, Kendall Wright, Frank Gore, Shane Vereen, Julian Edelman
Tier 4: Vernon Davis, Keenan Allen, C.J. Spiller, Mike Wallace, Reggie Bush, Michael Crabtree, Rashad Jennings
Tier 5: Jeremy Maclin, Greg Olsen, Eric Decker, Torrey Smith, Reggie Wayne, Marques Colston, DeSean Jackson, Andre Ellington
Tier 6: Zac Stacy, Ty Hilton, Toby Gerhart, Doug Martin, Jordan Cameron
Tier 7: Chris Johnson, Brandin Cooks
Tier 8: Jason Witten, Dennis Pitta, Knowshon Moreno, Kelvin Benjamin, Zach Ertz, Kyle Rudolph
Tier 9: Golden Tate, Justin Hunter, Joique Bell, DeAndre Hopkins, Anquan Boldin, Ryan Mathews, Terrance Williams, Martellus Bennett, Terrance West
Tier 10: Pierre Thomas, Greg Jennings, Markus Wheaton, Fred Jackson, Mark Ingram
Tier 11: Steve Smith, Charles Clay, Delanie Walker, Riley Cooper
