Week 4 Tiers

Week 4 byes:
Arizona Cardinals, Cincinnati Bengals, Cleveland Browns, Denver Broncos, St. Louis Rams, Seattle Seahawks

In this model, I take aggregated expert ranking data from fantasypros.com and pass it into a clustering algorithm called the Gaussian mixture model.  The algorithm finds players who are ranked similarly and discovers natural tiers within the data. The results is a series of simple charts that can help you decide your line up each week. 

Match ups, injuries, strength of offense and defense are all accounted for each week. Tiers are preferred over ranks, as it allow you to see the true distance between players, which is not as linear as a ranked list suggests. For more intuition behind the model, you can read this introduction.


(1) Always favor higher tier players.
(2) When choosing between players of the same tier, flip a coin or go with your gut. 
(3) Link: Week 4 in depth commentary on tiers


(To avoid paywall issues, right click each > open in new tab from these links above. If you see Week 3 still, try deleting your cookies or private browsing mode.)

Standard Flex (only Flex25 - Flex85 are shown):

Tier 1: Jamaal Charles, Arian Foster
Tier 2: Andre Johnson, Mike Wallace, Rob Gronkowski, Keenan Allen, Victor Cruz, C.J. Spiller, Cordarrelle Patterson, Stevan Ridley, Vincent Jackson
Tier 3: Brandin Cooks, DeSean Jackson, Kelvin Benjamin, Khiry Robinson, Steve Smith, Doug Martin
Tier 4: Matt Asiata, Antonio Gates, Reggie Bush, Martellus Bennett, Roddy White
Tier 5: Greg Olsen, Fred Jackson, Marques Colston, Pierre Thomas, Golden Tate, Shane Vereen, DeAndre Hopkins
Tier 6: Sammy Watkins, Reggie Wayne, Joique Bell, Ty Hilton, Darren Sproles
Tier 7: Steven Jackson, Delanie Walker, Zach Ertz, Terrance Williams, Kendall Wright, DeAngelo Williams, Niles Paul
Tier 8: Trent Richardson, Markus Wheaton, Christopher Ivory, Anquan Boldin, Toby Gerhart, Knile Davis, Greg Jennings, Vernon Davis, Jason Witten, Cecil Shorts, Eric Decker
Tier 9: Torrey Smith, Larry Donnell, Rueben Randle, Chris Johnson, Darren McFadden, James Jones, Travis Kelce, Mike Evans, Justin Hunter


Tier 1: DeMarco Murray, Matt Forte, Le'Veon Bell
Tier 2: LeSean McCoy, Eddie Lacy
Tier 3: Rashad Jennings, Lamar Miller, Donald Brown, Alfred Morris, Jamaal Charles
Tier 4: Shane Vereen, Darren Sproles, C.J. Spiller, Ahmad Bradshaw, Reggie Bush, Arian Foster
Tier 5: Matt Asiata
Tier 6: Frank Gore, Pierre Thomas, Doug Martin, Fred Jackson
Tier 7: Khiry Robinson, Stevan Ridley, Joique Bell
Tier 8: DeAngelo Williams, Toby Gerhart
Tier 9: Bobby Rainey, Christopher Ivory, Knile Davis, Trent Richardson, Darren McFadden, Steven Jackson
Tier 10: Bernard Pierce, Alfred Blue, Chris Johnson, Justin Forsett
Tier 11: Lorenzo Taliaferro, Roy Helu, Jacquizz Rodgers, Shonn Greene


Tier 1: Calvin Johnson, Julio Jones, Jordy Nelson, Antonio Brown, Dez Bryant
Tier 2: Pierre Garcon, Randall Cobb, Alshon Jeffery, Brandon Marshall, Julian Edelman
Tier 3: Michael Crabtree, Jeremy Maclin, Andre Johnson
Tier 4: Mike Wallace, Victor Cruz, Steve Smith, Brandin Cooks, Cordarrelle Patterson, Keenan Allen
Tier 5: Roddy White, Vincent Jackson, Kelvin Benjamin, DeSean Jackson, DeAndre Hopkins
Tier 6: Reggie Wayne, Marques Colston, Kendall Wright, Golden Tate
Tier 7: Sammy Watkins, Ty Hilton, Markus Wheaton
Tier 8: Greg Jennings, Anquan Boldin, Terrance Williams, Cecil Shorts
Tier 9: James Jones, Jeremy Kerley, Torrey Smith, Rueben Randle, Eric Decker, Justin Hunter, Allen Robinson, Jordan Matthews
Tier 10: Dwayne Bowe
Tier 11: Mike Evans, Brian Hartline, Harry Douglas, Eddie Royal, Allen Hurns, Malcom Floyd
Tier 12: Steve Johnson, Hakeem Nicks, Nate Washington, Riley Cooper, Kenny Stills, Davante Adams, Andre Holmes, Denarius Moore, Robert Woods
Tier 13: Devin Hester


Tier 1: Jimmy Graham, Rob Gronkowski
Tier 2: Martellus Bennett, Greg Olsen, Delanie Walker, Niles Paul
Tier 3: Larry Donnell, Antonio Gates, Zach Ertz, Travis Kelce, Jason Witten, Vernon Davis
Tier 4: Owen Daniels, Heath Miller
Tier 5: Charles Clay, Brandon Myers, Dwayne Allen
Tier 6: Eric Ebron, Ladarius Green, Garrett Graham, Coby Fleener, Andrew Quarless
Tier 7: MarQueis Gray, Scott Chandler, Jace Amaro, Jordan Reed

PPR Flex

Tier 1: Victor Cruz, Rob Gronkowski, Steve Smith, Jamaal Charles
Tier 2: Brandin Cooks, Cordarrelle Patterson, Keenan Allen
Tier 3: Martellus Bennett, Kelvin Benjamin, Vincent Jackson, DeSean Jackson, Roddy White, Shane Vereen, DeAndre Hopkins, Greg Olsen, Darren Sproles, Reggie Wayne, Arian Foster
Tier 4: Marques Colston, C.J. Spiller, Kendall Wright, Golden Tate, Ahmad Bradshaw, Reggie Bush, Delanie Walker, Sammy Watkins
Tier 5: Ty Hilton, Niles Paul, Markus Wheaton
Tier 6: Matt Asiata, Greg Jennings, Frank Gore, Pierre Thomas
Tier 7: Anquan Boldin, Terrance Williams, Fred Jackson, Doug Martin
Tier 8: Antonio Gates, Larry Donnell, Khiry Robinson, James Jones, Joique Bell, Stevan Ridley, Zach Ertz, Cecil Shorts, Jeremy Kerley
Tier 9: Torrey Smith, Rueben Randle, Travis Kelce, Justin Hunter, Allen Robinson, Jason Witten, Jordan Matthews, Eric Decker
Tier 10: DeAngelo Williams, Vernon Davis, Mike Evans, Toby Gerhart, Owen Daniels, Dwayne Bowe, Brian Hartline

0.5 PPR Flex

Tier 1: Mike Wallace, Victor Cruz, Rob Gronkowski, Keenan Allen, Brandin Cooks, Cordarrelle Patterson, Arian Foster
Tier 2: Steve Smith, Vincent Jackson, Ahmad Bradshaw, DeSean Jackson, C.J. Spiller, Roddy White
Tier 3: Kelvin Benjamin
Tier 4: Martellus Bennett, Frank Gore, Shane Vereen, Greg Olsen, DeAndre Hopkins, Marques Colston
Tier 5: Reggie Bush, Darren Sproles, Reggie Wayne, Golden Tate, Matt Asiata, Doug Martin
Tier 6: Stevan Ridley, Delanie Walker, Kendall Wright, Sammy Watkins, Khiry Robinson, Ty Hilton, Antonio Gates, Pierre Thomas
Tier 7: Fred Jackson, Markus Wheaton, Niles Paul
Tier 8: Terrance Williams, Joique Bell, Greg Jennings, Zach Ertz, Anquan Boldin
Tier 9: Larry Donnell, Torrey Smith, DeAngelo Williams, Cecil Shorts, James Jones, Jason Witten, Rueben Randle, Eric Decker
Tier 10: Justin Hunter, Travis Kelce, Toby Gerhart, Vernon Davis, Steven Jackson, Jordan Matthews, Allen Robinson
Tier 11: Christopher Ivory, Trent Richardson, Mike Evans, Knile Davis

0.5 PPR RB

Tier 1: DeMarco Murray, Matt Forte, Le'Veon Bell
Tier 2: LeSean McCoy, Eddie Lacy, Alfred Morris, Donald Brown, Rashad Jennings, Lamar Miller, Jamaal Charles
Tier 3: Ahmad Bradshaw, C.J. Spiller, Arian Foster
Tier 4: Shane Vereen, Frank Gore, Darren Sproles, Reggie Bush
Tier 5: Matt Asiata, Stevan Ridley, Doug Martin, Khiry Robinson, Pierre Thomas, Fred Jackson
Tier 6: Joique Bell
Tier 7: DeAngelo Williams, Steven Jackson, Toby Gerhart, Christopher Ivory, Trent Richardson, Knile Davis, Bobby Rainey
Tier 8: Darren McFadden, Chris Johnson, Alfred Blue, Bernard Pierce, Lorenzo Taliaferro
Tier 9: Justin Forsett, Shonn Greene, Bishop Sankey, Roy Helu

0.5 PPR TE

Tier 1: Jimmy Graham, Rob Gronkowski
Tier 2: Martellus Bennett, Greg Olsen, Delanie Walker, Antonio Gates, Niles Paul
Tier 3: Zach Ertz, Larry Donnell, Jason Witten, Vernon Davis, Travis Kelce
Tier 4: Owen Daniels, Heath Miller, Charles Clay, Dwayne Allen
Tier 5: Ladarius Green, Garrett Graham, Brandon Myers, Eric Ebron, Coby Fleener, Andrew Quarless
Tier 6: MarQueis Gray, Jace Amaro, Derek Carrier, Austin Seferian-Jenkins

0.5 PPR WR

Tier 1: Calvin Johnson, Julio Jones, Jordy Nelson, Antonio Brown, Dez Bryant
Tier 2: Brandon Marshall, Alshon Jeffery, Pierre Garcon, Randall Cobb
Tier 3: Jeremy Maclin, Julian Edelman, Michael Crabtree, Andre Johnson
Tier 4: Mike Wallace, Victor Cruz, Keenan Allen, Cordarrelle Patterson, Brandin Cooks, Steve Smith
Tier 5: Vincent Jackson, DeSean Jackson, Kelvin Benjamin, Roddy White
Tier 6: DeAndre Hopkins, Marques Colston, Reggie Wayne, Golden Tate
Tier 7: Kendall Wright, Sammy Watkins, Ty Hilton
Tier 8: Markus Wheaton, Terrance Williams, Greg Jennings, Anquan Boldin
Tier 9: Cecil Shorts, Eric Decker, Torrey Smith, Rueben Randle, James Jones, Justin Hunter, Allen Robinson, Jordan Matthews, Jeremy Kerley
Tier 10: Mike Evans, Dwayne Bowe
Tier 11: Malcom Floyd, Harry Douglas, Allen Hurns, Brian Hartline, Eddie Royal, Hakeem Nicks
Tier 12: Steve Johnson, Riley Cooper, Nate Washington, Kenny Stills, Davante Adams, Denarius Moore, Andre Holmes, Robert Woods
Tier 13: Devin Hester