Wednesday, August 6, 2014

2014 Preseason - Top 200

Here is my top 200 for 2014, split into 22 tiers.

Position specific:

The QB, RB, WR, and TE charts will be hosted at NYTimes. To get around the NYTimes paywalluse the links here (right click + open in new tab):

Drafting a Fantasy Football Team, With Help From Advanced Statistics

Unfortunately the paywall is beyond my control, but as long as you enter through external links (like the ones above), you'll always be able to view them for free.

If this is your first time here, the tiers are determined using a machine learning algorithm which reads from fantasypros data to smartly cluster each player into their natural tiers. You can read the details of the algorithm here or last year's article here.

Overall top 200:

Tier 1-10

Tier 1: Jamaal Charles, LeSean McCoy, Adrian Peterson, Matt Forte, Eddie Lacy, Calvin Johnson
Tier 2: Demaryius Thomas, Jimmy Graham, Dez Bryant, DeMarco Murray, Montee Ball, Marshawn Lynch
Tier 3: A.J. Green, Le'Veon Bell, Brandon Marshall, Julio Jones, Arian Foster, Giovani Bernard
Tier 4: Peyton Manning, Jordy Nelson, Alshon Jeffery, Zac Stacy, Alfred Morris, Antonio Brown, Aaron Rodgers, Doug Martin, Drew Brees, Andre Ellington, Randall Cobb
Tier 5: Keenan Allen, Toby Gerhart, Vincent Jackson, C.J. Spiller, Rob Gronkowski, Ryan Mathews, Andre Johnson, Victor Cruz, Pierre Garcon, Julius Thomas
Tier 6: Larry Fitzgerald, Reggie Bush, Roddy White, Rashad Jennings
Tier 7: Michael Crabtree, Matthew Stafford, Wes Welker, Frank Gore, Michael Floyd, Cordarrelle Patterson, Joique Bell, Bishop Sankey
Tier 8: Andrew Luck, Shane Vereen, Percy Harvin, DeSean Jackson, Torrey Smith
Tier 9: Jordan Cameron, Chris Johnson, Ben Tate, Mike Wallace, Trent Richardson, Nick Foles, Ray Rice, Matt Ryan, Robert Griffin III, Cam Newton
Tier 10: Kendall Wright, Ty Hilton, Stevan Ridley, Lamar Miller

Tier 11-18

Tier 11: Marques Colston, Vernon Davis, Jeremy Maclin, Steven Jackson, Tony Romo, Tom Brady
Tier 12: Pierre Thomas, Jason Witten, Eric Decker, Terrance Williams, Julian Edelman, Greg Olsen, Colin Kaepernick, Golden Tate, Emmanuel Sanders
Tier 13: Reggie Wayne, Jordan Reed, Rueben Randle, Jay Cutler, Fred Jackson, Maurice Jones-Drew, Sammy Watkins, Dwayne Bowe, Kyle Rudolph, Dennis Pitta, Russell Wilson
Tier 14: Cecil Shorts, Mike Evans, Philip Rivers, Terrance West, Brandin Cooks
Tier 15: Riley Cooper, DeAngelo Williams, Danny Woodhead, Marvin Jones, Anquan Boldin, Darren Sproles, Bernard Pierce, DeAndre Hopkins, Ben Roethlisberger, Darren McFadden, Jeremy Hill
Tier 16: Zach Ertz, Christopher Ivory, Martellus Bennett, Tavon Austin, Brian Hartline, Charles Clay, Hakeem Nicks, Justin Hunter, Knowshon Moreno, Devonta Freeman, James Jones, Greg Jennings
Tier 17: Kelvin Benjamin, Kenny Stills, Seattle Seahawks, Andy Dalton, Jarrett Boykin, Markus Wheaton, Christine Michael, Danny Amendola, Aaron Dobson, Carlos Hyde, Mark Ingram
Tier 18: Ryan Tannehill, Ladarius Green, Heath Miller, Jordan Matthews, Jonathan Stewart

Tier 18-22
Tier 18: Khiry Robinson, Josh Gordon
Tier 19: Carson Palmer, Steve Smith, Doug Baldwin, Alex Smith, San Francisco 49ers, Eli Manning, Delanie Walker, Shonn Greene, Ahmad Bradshaw, Andre Williams, Antonio Gates, Kenny Britt, Andrew Hawkins, Johnny Manziel, Donald Brown, James White
Tier 20: Robert Woods, LeGarrette Blount, Josh McCown, Tyler Eifert, Dwayne Allen, Eric Ebron, Jared Cook, Marqise Lee, Odell Beckham Jr., Rod Streater, Joe Flacco, Garrett Graham, Knile Davis, Harry Douglas, Andre Brown, Tre Mason, Charles Sims, Steve Johnson, Mike Williams, Jake Locker, Malcom Floyd, David Wilson
Tier 21: St. Louis Rams, Carolina Panthers, Lance Dunbar, Sam Bradford, Jerricho Cotchery, James Starks, Stepfan Taylor, E.J. Manuel, Bryce Brown, Miles Austin
Tier 22: Roy Helu, Cincinnati Bengals, Coby Fleener, C.J. Anderson, New England Patriots, Denver Broncos, Jacquizz Rodgers, Mike Tolbert, Arizona Cardinals, Teddy Bridgewater





PPR charts:

Tier 1: Jamaal Charles, LeSean McCoy, Matt Forte, Calvin Johnson, Adrian Peterson, Jimmy Graham, Demaryius Thomas, Dez Bryant
Tier 2: Eddie Lacy, DeMarco Murray, Giovani Bernard, Montee Ball, A.J. Green, Julio Jones, Brandon Marshall, Le'Veon Bell
Tier 3: Antonio Brown, Marshawn Lynch, Andre Ellington, Jordy Nelson, Arian Foster, Alshon Jeffery
Tier 4: Randall Cobb, Zac Stacy, Doug Martin, Rob Gronkowski, Pierre Garcon, Andre Johnson, Reggie Bush, Peyton Manning
Tier 5: Julius Thomas, Victor Cruz, Vincent Jackson, Aaron Rodgers, C.J. Spiller, Keenan Allen, Drew Brees, Shane Vereen, Ryan Mathews
Tier 6: NA, 
Tier 7: Roddy White, Alfred Morris, Wes Welker, Larry Fitzgerald, Toby Gerhart, Rashad Jennings, Michael Crabtree, Joique Bell
Tier 8: Michael Floyd, Cordarrelle Patterson, Kendall Wright, Pierre Thomas, Matthew Stafford, Julian Edelman, Chris Johnson, Ray Rice, Bishop Sankey, Torrey Smith, Percy Harvin
Tier 9: Mike Wallace, DeSean Jackson, Lamar Miller, Ben Tate, Andrew Luck, Jordan Cameron, Marques Colston, Trent Richardson, Ty Hilton, Frank Gore
Tier 10: Eric Decker, Danny Woodhead

Tier 11: Nick Foles, Vernon Davis, Jason Witten, Matt Ryan, Greg Olsen, Robert Griffin III, Steven Jackson
Tier 12: Dennis Pitta, Jordan Reed, Jeremy Maclin, Cam Newton, Terrance Williams, Emmanuel Sanders, Reggie Wayne, Tom Brady, Tony Romo, Stevan Ridley, Golden Tate, Fred Jackson
Tier 13: Dwayne Bowe, Maurice Jones-Drew, Rueben Randle, Darren Sproles, Colin Kaepernick, Sammy Watkins, Cecil Shorts
Tier 14: Marvin Jones, Kyle Rudolph, DeAndre Hopkins, Bernard Pierce, Jay Cutler
Tier 15: Brandin Cooks, Brian Hartline, Mike Evans, Philip Rivers, Terrance West, Russell Wilson, DeAngelo Williams, Riley Cooper, Anquan Boldin, Darren McFadden
Tier 16: Tavon Austin, Seattle Seahawks, Charles Clay, Greg Jennings, Martellus Bennett, Devonta Freeman, Jeremy Hill, Knowshon Moreno
Tier 17: Kelvin Benjamin, Ben Roethlisberger, Jarrett Boykin, Hakeem Nicks, Zach Ertz, Markus Wheaton, Justin Hunter, James Jones, Doug Baldwin, Steve Smith, Danny Amendola, Aaron Dobson, Kenny Stills, Christine Michael
Tier 18: Christopher Ivory, Jordan Matthews, Delanie Walker, Heath Miller, Mark Ingram, Antonio Gates, Robert Woods

Tier 18: Khiry Robinson, Andrew Hawkins, Josh Gordon
Tier 19: Lance Dunbar, Carlos Hyde, Rod Streater, Shonn Greene, Marqise Lee, Ladarius Green, Ahmad Bradshaw, Harry Douglas, Andy Dalton, Knile Davis, Jonathan Stewart, Andre Brown, Garrett Graham
Tier 20: Jared Cook, Jacquizz Rodgers, Charles Sims, Roy Helu, Eric Ebron, Donald Brown, Odell Beckham Jr., Jerricho Cotchery, Kenny Britt, Tyler Eifert, Steve Johnson, Tre Mason, Andre Williams, Bryce Brown, C.J. Anderson, Eli Manning, Johnny Manziel, Owen Daniels, Andre Holmes
Tier 21: Mike Williams, Ryan Tannehill, Dexter McCluster, LeGarrette Blount, Dwayne Allen, Mike Tolbert, Stepfan Taylor, San Francisco 49ers, Alex Smith, Malcom Floyd, James White, Miles Austin, Nate Washington, Brandon LaFell, Carson Palmer, David Wilson, St. Louis Rams
Tier 22: Denarius Moore, Cody Latimer, Carolina Panthers, Coby Fleener, James Starks, Allen Robinson, Andre Roberts, Jeremy Kerley

Tier 1: Jamaal Charles, LeSean McCoy, Matt Forte, Adrian Peterson
Tier 2: Eddie Lacy, DeMarco Murray, Montee Ball, Giovani Bernard
Tier 3: Le'Veon Bell, Marshawn Lynch, Arian Foster, Andre Ellington
Tier 4: Doug Martin, Reggie Bush, Zac Stacy, C.J. Spiller
Tier 5: Shane Vereen, Ryan Mathews, Alfred Morris, Toby Gerhart, Rashad Jennings, Joique Bell
Tier 6: Pierre Thomas, Chris Johnson
Tier 7: Ray Rice, Bishop Sankey, Ben Tate, Lamar Miller, Frank Gore, Trent Richardson
Tier 8: Danny Woodhead, Steven Jackson
Tier 9: Fred Jackson, Stevan Ridley, Darren Sproles, Maurice Jones-Drew
Tier 10: Bernard Pierce, DeAngelo Williams, Darren McFadden, Terrance West

Tier 1: Calvin Johnson, Dez Bryant, Demaryius Thomas, A.J. Green, Brandon Marshall, Julio Jones
Tier 2: Antonio Brown, Jordy Nelson, Alshon Jeffery, Randall Cobb, Andre Johnson, Pierre Garcon
Tier 3: Victor Cruz, Vincent Jackson, Keenan Allen, Roddy White, Larry Fitzgerald, Wes Welker, Michael Crabtree
Tier 4: Michael Floyd, Kendall Wright, Torrey Smith, Cordarrelle Patterson, Percy Harvin, Mike Wallace, Julian Edelman
Tier 5: DeSean Jackson, Marques Colston, Ty Hilton, Eric Decker
Tier 6: Reggie Wayne, Jeremy Maclin, Terrance Williams, Emmanuel Sanders, Dwayne Bowe, Golden Tate
Tier 7: Cecil Shorts, Rueben Randle, Sammy Watkins
Tier 8: Marvin Jones, DeAndre Hopkins, Brian Hartline, Mike Evans, Brandin Cooks, Greg Jennings, Riley Cooper, Anquan Boldin
Tier 9: Tavon Austin, James Jones, Hakeem Nicks, Kelvin Benjamin, Justin Hunter, Jarrett Boykin, Markus Wheaton, Aaron Dobson, Kenny Stills, Danny Amendola, Doug Baldwin, Steve Smith
Tier 10: Andrew Hawkins

Tier 1: Jimmy Graham, Rob Gronkowski, Julius Thomas
Tier 2: Jordan Cameron, Greg Olsen, Jason Witten, Jordan Reed, Vernon Davis, Dennis Pitta, Kyle Rudolph
Tier 3: Charles Clay, Martellus Bennett
Tier 4: Zach Ertz, Heath Miller, Delanie Walker, Antonio Gates
Tier 5: Garrett Graham, Jared Cook, Ladarius Green, Tyler Eifert, Dwayne Allen, Eric Ebron
Tier 6: Owen Daniels, Travis Kelce

Shoutout to /r/Beer4TheBeerGod for his incredibly insightful observation about in-season accuracy in 2013 only varying by 10%.

1 comment:

  1. Thanks for hard work. These are great! Any chance of getting a top 200 for .5 ppr?

    ReplyDelete