2026 Fantasy Football Draft Kit

The draft tier list is generated from a clustering algorithm called a gaussian mixture model, using expert consensus data from Fantasypros.com. The charts will be continually updated throughout the preseason and regular season. 

There are three components to the draft kit:
1. Top 200 Tier charts (below)
3. Position charts: QB - RB - WR - TE

The experts in the select pool are chosen based on individual experts' accuracy and have demonstrated consistent accuracy above the rest over several seasons. 

Be mindful that recent news may be slow to get reflected in these charts. Data is sourced from Fantasypros and not all experts push updated rankings regularly.

Good luck with your drafts, you can find me on twitter for questions and feedback.





2025 Weekly Fantasy Football Tiers

Introduction

In this fantasy football model, I take select expert ranking data from Fantasypros.com and pass it into a statistical clustering algorithm called a Gaussian mixture model.  The algorithm finds players who are ranked similarly and discovers natural tiers within the data. 

The results are a series of simple charts that can help you decide your fantasy football line up each week. Match ups, injuries, strength of offense and defense are all accounted for. For more intuition behind the model, you can read this introduction.

Questions or comments? Find me on Twitter at @borisachen.

How to use these charts

(1) Favor higher tier players. 
(2) When choosing between players of the same tier, flip a coin or go with your gut. If experts are 50/50, there's no wrong choice.
(3) Fill your non-Flex positions first. Then use the Flex charts.
(4) Charts update every day. Check back Thursday, Sunday and Monday before game time.


Other charts are accessible from the menu.
QB | RB | WR | TE | Flex | K | DST

2025 Fantasy Football Draft Kit

The draft tier list is generated from a clustering algorithm called a gaussian mixture model, using expert consensus data from Fantasypros.com. The charts will be continually updated throughout the preseason and regular season. 

There are three components to the draft kit:
1. Top 200 Tier charts (below)
3. Position charts: QB - RB - WR - TE

The experts in the select pool are chosen based on individual experts' accuracy and have demonstrated consistent accuracy above the rest over several seasons. 

Be mindful that recent news may be slow to get reflected in these charts. Data is sourced from Fantasypros and not all experts push updated rankings regularly.

Good luck with your drafts, you can find me on twitter for questions and feedback.





2024 Fantasy Football Draft Kit

Introduction

In this fantasy football model, I take select expert ranking data from Fantasypros.com and pass it into a statistical clustering algorithm called a Gaussian mixture model.  The algorithm finds players who are ranked similarly and discovers natural tiers within the data. 

The results are a series of simple charts that can help you decide your fantasy football line up each week. Match ups, injuries, strength of offense and defense are all accounted for. For more intuition behind the model, you can read this introduction.

Questions or comments? Find me on Twitter at @borisachen.

How to use these charts

(1) Favor higher tier players. 
(2) When choosing between players of the same tier, flip a coin or go with your gut. If experts are 50/50, there's no wrong choice.
(3) Fill your non-Flex positions first. Then use the Flex charts.
(4) Charts update every day. Check back Thursday, Sunday and Monday before game time.


Other charts are accessible from the menu.
QB | RB | WR | TE | Flex | K | DST

2023 Weekly Fantasy Football Tiers

Introduction

In this fantasy football model, I take select expert ranking data from Fantasypros.com and pass it into a statistical clustering algorithm called a Gaussian mixture model.  The algorithm finds players who are ranked similarly and discovers natural tiers within the data. 

The results are a series of simple charts that can help you decide your fantasy football line up each week. Match ups, injuries, strength of offense and defense are all accounted for. For more intuition behind the model, you can read this introduction.

Questions or comments? Find me on Twitter at @borisachen.

How to use these charts

(1) Favor higher tier players. 
(2) When choosing between players of the same tier, flip a coin or go with your gut. If experts are 50/50, there's no wrong choice.
(3) Fill your non-Flex positions first. Then use the Flex charts.
(4) Charts update every day. Check back Thursday, Sunday and Monday before game time.


Other charts are accessible from the menu.
QB | RB | WR | TE | Flex | K | DST

2023 Fantasy Football Draft Kit

Introduction

In this fantasy football model, I take select expert ranking data from Fantasypros.com and pass it into a statistical clustering algorithm called a Gaussian mixture model.  The algorithm finds players who are ranked similarly and discovers natural tiers within the data. 

The results are a series of simple charts that can help you decide your fantasy football line up each week. Match ups, injuries, strength of offense and defense are all accounted for. For more intuition behind the model, you can read this introduction.

Questions or comments? Find me on Twitter at @borisachen.

How to use these charts

(1) Favor higher tier players. 
(2) When choosing between players of the same tier, flip a coin or go with your gut. If experts are 50/50, there's no wrong choice.
(3) Fill your non-Flex positions first. Then use the Flex charts.
(4) Charts update every day. Check back Thursday, Sunday and Monday before game time.


Other charts are accessible from the menu.
QB | RB | WR | TE | Flex | K | DST

2022 Weekly Fantasy Football Tiers

Introduction

In this fantasy football model, I take select expert ranking data from Fantasypros.com and pass it into a statistical clustering algorithm called a Gaussian mixture model.  The algorithm finds players who are ranked similarly and discovers natural tiers within the data. 

The results are a series of simple charts that can help you decide your fantasy football line up each week. Match ups, injuries, strength of offense and defense are all accounted for. For more intuition behind the model, you can read this introduction.

Questions or comments? Find me on Twitter at @borisachen.

How to use these charts

(1) Favor higher tier players. 
(2) When choosing between players of the same tier, flip a coin or go with your gut. If experts are 50/50, there's no wrong choice.
(3) Fill your non-Flex positions first. Then use the Flex charts.
(4) Charts update every day. Check back Thursday, Sunday and Monday before game time.


Other charts are accessible from the menu.
QB | RB | WR | TE | Flex | K | DST

2022 Fantasy Football Draft Kit

Here is your draft kit for the 2022 season. Tiers are generated from a clustering algorithm called a gaussian mixture model, using expert consensus data from Fantasypros.com. The charts will be continually updated throughout the preseason and regular season. 

There are three components to the draft kit:
1. Top 200 Tier charts (below)
3. Position charts: QB - RB - WR - TE

The experts in the select pool are chosen based on individual experts' accuracy and have demonstrated consistent accuracy above the rest over several seasons. 

Be mindful that recent news may be slow to get reflected in these charts. Data is sourced from Fantasypros and not all experts push updated rankings regularly.

Good luck with your drafts, you can find me on twitter for questions and feedback.





2021 Weekly Fantasy Football Tiers

Introduction

In this fantasy football model, I take select expert ranking data from Fantasypros.com and pass it into a statistical clustering algorithm called a Gaussian mixture model.  The algorithm finds players who are ranked similarly and discovers natural tiers within the data. 

The results are a series of simple charts that can help you decide your fantasy football line up each week. Match ups, injuries, strength of offense and defense are all accounted for. For more intuition behind the model, you can read this introduction.

Questions or comments? Find me on Twitter at @borisachen.

How to use these charts

(1) Favor higher tier players. 
(2) When choosing between players of the same tier, flip a coin or go with your gut. If experts are 50/50, there's no wrong choice.
(3) Fill your non-Flex positions first. Then use the Flex charts.
(4) Charts update every day. Check back Thursday, Sunday and Monday before game time.


Other charts are accessible from the menu.
QB | RB | WR | TE | Flex | K | DST

2021 Fantasy Football Draft Tiers

Here is your draft kit for the 2021 season. Tiers are generated from a clustering algorithm called a gaussian mixture model, using expert consensus data from Fantasypros.com. The charts will be continually updated throughout the preseason and regular season. 

There are three components to the draft kit:
1. Top 200 Tier charts (below)
3. Position charts: QB - RB - WR - TE

The experts in the select pool are chosen based on individual experts' accuracy and have demonstrated consistent accuracy above the rest over several seasons. 

Be mindful that recent news may be slow to get reflected in these charts. Data is sourced from Fantasypros and not all experts push updated rankings regularly.

Good luck with your drafts, you can find me on twitter for questions and feedback.





2020 Weekly Fantasy Football Tiers

Introduction

In this fantasy football model, I take select expert ranking data from Fantasypros.com and pass it into a statistical clustering algorithm called a Gaussian mixture model.  The algorithm finds players who are ranked similarly and discovers natural tiers within the data. 

The results are a series of simple charts that can help you decide your fantasy football line up each week. Match ups, injuries, strength of offense and defense are all accounted for. For more intuition behind the model, you can read this introduction.

Questions or comments? Find me on Twitter at @borisachen.

How to use these charts

(1) Favor higher tier players. 
(2) When choosing between players of the same tier, flip a coin or go with your gut. If experts are 50/50, there's no wrong choice.
(3) Fill your non-Flex positions first. Then use the Flex charts.
(4) Charts update every day. Check back Thursday, Sunday and Monday before game time.


Other charts are accessible from the menu.
QB | RB | WR | TE | Flex | K | DST

2020 Fantasy Football Draft Tier List

Here is your draft kit for the 2020 season. Tiers are generated from a clustering algorithm called a gaussian mixture model, using expert consensus data from Fantasypros.com. The charts will be continually updated throughout the preseason and regular season. 

There are three components to the draft kit:
1. Top 200 Tier charts (below)
3. Position charts: QB - RB - WR - TE

The experts in the select pool are chosen based on individual experts' accuracy and have demonstrated consistent accuracy above the rest over several seasons. The list is:

Be mindful that recent news may be slow to get reflected in these charts. Data is sourced from Fantasypros and not all experts push updated rankings regularly.

Good luck with your drafts, you can find me on twitter for questions and feedback.





2019 Fantasy Football Weekly Tiers

Introduction

In this fantasy football model, I take select expert ranking data from Fantasypros.com and pass it into a statistical clustering algorithm called a Gaussian mixture model.  The algorithm finds players who are ranked similarly and discovers natural tiers within the data. 

The results are a series of simple charts that can help you decide your fantasy football line up each week. Match ups, injuries, strength of offense and defense are all accounted for. For more intuition behind the model, you can read this introduction.

Questions or comments? Find me on Twitter at @borisachen.

How to use these charts

(1) Favor higher tier players. 
(2) When choosing between players of the same tier, flip a coin or go with your gut. If experts are 50/50, there's no wrong choice.
(3) Fill your non-Flex positions first. Then use the Flex charts.
(4) Charts update every day. Check back Thursday, Sunday and Monday before game time.


Other charts are accessible from the menu.
QB | RB | WR | TE | Flex | K | DST

2019 Draft Tiers

Here is your draft kit for the 2019 season. Tiers are generated from a clustering algorithm called a gaussian mixture model, using expert consensus data from Fantasypros.com. The charts will be continually updated throughout the preseason and regular season. 

There are three components to the draft kit:
1. Top 200 Tier charts (below)
3. Position charts: QB - RB - WR - TE

The experts in the select pool are chosen based on individual experts' accuracy and have demonstrated consistent accuracy above the rest over several seasons. The list is:

Be mindful that recent news may be slow to get reflected in these charts. Data is sourced from Fantasypros and not all experts push updated rankings regularly.

Good luck with your drafts, you can find me on twitter for questions and feedback.





Fantasy Football Tier Rankings - Week 15, 2018

Introduction

In this fantasy football model, I take select expert ranking data from Fantasypros.com and pass it into a statistical clustering algorithm called a Gaussian mixture model.  The algorithm finds players who are ranked similarly and discovers natural tiers within the data. 

Early in the week I use a large pool of experts; toward the end of the week I narrow to a small select pool. The experts in the select pool are chosen based on individual experts' accuracy and have demonstrated consistent accuracy above the rest over several seasons. The list is:

John Paulsen, 4for4.com
Jeff Ratcliffe, Pro Football Focus
Justin Boone, theScore
Jake Ciely, RotoExperts
Mike Clay, ESPN
Patrick Thorman, Pro Football Focus
Sean Koerner, STATS
Sablich Brothers, 5th Down Fantasy

The results are a series of simple charts that can help you decide your fantasy football line up each week. Match ups, injuries, strength of offense and defense are all accounted for. For more intuition behind the model, you can read this introduction.

Questions or comments? Find me on Twitter at @borisachen.

How to use these charts

(1) Favor higher tier players. 
(2) When choosing between players of the same tier, flip a coin or go with your gut. If experts are 50/50, there's no wrong choice.
(3) Fill your non-Flex positions first. Then use the Flex charts.
(4) Charts update every day. Check back Thursday, Sunday and Monday before game time.


Other charts are accessible from the menu.
QB | RB | WR | TE | Flex | K | DST

Fantasy Football Tier Rankings - Week 13, 2018

Introduction

In this fantasy football model, I take select expert ranking data from Fantasypros.com and pass it into a statistical clustering algorithm called a Gaussian mixture model.  The algorithm finds players who are ranked similarly and discovers natural tiers within the data. 

Early in the week I use a large pool of experts; toward the end of the week I narrow to a small select pool. The experts in the select pool are chosen based on individual experts' accuracy and have demonstrated consistent accuracy above the rest over several seasons. The list is:

John Paulsen, 4for4.com
Jeff Ratcliffe, Pro Football Focus
Justin Boone, theScore
Jake Ciely, RotoExperts
Mike Clay, ESPN
Patrick Thorman, Pro Football Focus
Sean Koerner, STATS
Sablich Brothers, 5th Down Fantasy

The results are a series of simple charts that can help you decide your fantasy football line up each week. Match ups, injuries, strength of offense and defense are all accounted for. For more intuition behind the model, you can read this introduction.

Questions or comments? Find me on Twitter at @borisachen.

How to use these charts

(1) Favor higher tier players. 
(2) When choosing between players of the same tier, flip a coin or go with your gut. If experts are 50/50, there's no wrong choice.
(3) Fill your non-Flex positions first. Then use the Flex charts.
(4) Charts update every day. Check back Thursday, Sunday and Monday before game time.


Other charts are accessible from the menu.
QB | RB | WR | TE | Flex | K | DST