Week 16 - Tiers

Here are the links to the charts : 

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/sports/football/2013-fantasy-football-tier-charts-QB.html

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/sports/football/2013-fantasy-football-tier-charts-RB.html
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/sports/football/2013-fantasy-football-tier-charts-WR.html
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/sports/football/2013-fantasy-football-tier-charts-TE.html
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/sports/football/2013-fantasy-football-tier-charts-K.html
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/sports/football/2013-fantasy-football-tier-charts-D.html

Note: If you go through any external link, like these above, you won't have paywall issues. Right click each > open in new tab. You can also use incognito mode.

FLEX won't be posted on NYT, so here they are (only FLEX15 - FLEX75 are shown):

Tier 1: Adrian Peterson

Tier 2: Alshon Jeffery, Alfred Morris, Antonio Brown, Demaryius Thomas, Pierre Garcon, Marshawn Lynch, Andre Johnson

Tier 3: Frank Gore, Keenan Allen

Tier 4: Reggie Bush, DeSean Jackson, Ryan Mathews, Jordy Nelson, Eric Decker, Vincent Jackson, Julian Edelman, Chris Johnson

Tier 5: Rashad Jennings, Vernon Davis, Julius Thomas, Torrey Smith, Bobby Rainey, Mike Wallace, Marques Colston

Tier 6: Giovani Bernard

Tier 7: Michael Crabtree, Andre Brown, Roddy White, Jason Witten

Tier 8: Kendall Wright, Ray Rice, Brian Hartline, Shane Vereen, Ty Hilton, Larry Fitzgerald

Tier 9: Fred Jackson, Danny Amendola, Greg Olsen, Anquan Boldin, Jordan Cameron

Tier 10: C.J. Spiller, Delanie Walker, Greg Jennings, Steven Jackson, James Jones, Riley Cooper

Tier 11: Tony Gonzalez, Jordan Todman, Dwayne Bowe, Christopher Ivory, DeAngelo Williams

Tier 12: Danny Woodhead, Montee Ball, Emmanuel Sanders, Dennis Pitta

Tier 13: Steve Smith, Antonio Gates, Harry Douglas, Hakeem Nicks, Rod Streater

Summary (for first time readers):

My model takes an aggregation of expert rankings from fantasypros, and passes the data into a machine learning clustering algorithm called a gaussian mixture model. Then, I plot each player in the two dimensional space of weighted expert consensus rank (ECR) and raw average rank, and color them by the tier determined by the algorithm. Match-ups are accounted for.  The result is beautiful charts and tiers that help you set your line up.

Why the model is powerful: Every week, fantasypros collects data from over 130 experts, each of whom watch and analyze football for a living. Both fantasypros and my model build on the intuition that an aggregation of many expert opinions provides more reliable rankings than what any one expert can predict.

On top of this, the clustering algorithm is able to identify players that are ranked similarly in the data and find natural tiers among the players. It is not always the case that QB3 > QB4 > QB5.  Sometimes they are equal, and the algorithm uncovers this.

How to use the charts: Each black dot represents the player's average rank and weighted ECR. The color corresponds to the tier given by the algorithm. I recommend starting players in higher tiers.

Within a tier, most player will appear close together. This means experts are near 50/50 on who is better this week. The tiering algorithm says these players are equals this week. In this case, I recommend flipping a coin, or going with your gut.  If experts can't agree, there is no right answer.

As always, you can catch my updates on twitter.

Week 16 - PPR

RB

Tier 1: Jamaal Charles, LeSean McCoy, Matt Forte, DeMarco Murray
Tier 2: Le'Veon Bell, Eddie Lacy, Reggie Bush, Knowshon Moreno, Zac Stacy, Adrian Peterson
Tier 3: Shane Vereen, Giovani Bernard, Chris Johnson, Marshawn Lynch
Tier 4: Ryan Mathews, Frank Gore, Rashad Jennings, Alfred Morris, Andre Brown, Ray Rice, Bobby Rainey, Fred Jackson, Ben Tate
Tier 5: Jordan Todman, Pierre Thomas, Danny Woodhead, C.J. Spiller, Darren Sproles, Steven Jackson, Maurice Jones-Drew
Tier 6: DeAngelo Williams, Montee Ball, Andre Ellington
Tier 7: Dennis Johnson, Joique Bell, Christopher Ivory, Lamar Miller, Trent Richardson, Chris Ogbonnaya, Donald Brown

WR

Tier 1: Calvin Johnson, Josh Gordon, A.J. Green, Brandon Marshall, Dez Bryant
Tier 2: Pierre Garcon, Antonio Brown, Alshon Jeffery, Andre Johnson, Demaryius Thomas, Keenan Allen, Julian Edelman
Tier 3: Jordy Nelson, Eric Decker, Kendall Wright, Vincent Jackson, DeSean Jackson, Roddy White, Danny Amendola, Marques Colston
Tier 4: Mike Wallace, Brian Hartline, Torrey Smith, Michael Crabtree, Larry Fitzgerald, Ty Hilton, Greg Jennings, Wes Welker
Tier 5: Anquan Boldin, Harry Douglas, James Jones, Dwayne Bowe, Emmanuel Sanders
Tier 6: Steve Smith, Rod Streater, Jarrett Boykin, Riley Cooper, Hakeem Nicks, Cordarrelle Patterson, Michael Floyd, Nate Burleson, Golden Tate, Steve Johnson, Victor Cruz
Tier 7: Rueben Randle, Doug Baldwin, DeAndre Hopkins, Marvin Jones, Ace Sanders, Da'Rick Rogers, Jeremy Kerley, Andre Caldwell
Tier 8: Robert Woods, Santana Moss, Denarius Moore, Brandon LaFell, Rishard Matthews, Mike Brown, Jacoby Jones, Andre Holmes

TE

Tier 1: Jimmy Graham, Jason Witten, Jordan Cameron, Julius Thomas, Greg Olsen, Vernon Davis, Tony Gonzalez, Delanie Walker

Tier 2: Dennis Pitta, Antonio Gates, Charles Clay, Garrett Graham, Martellus Bennett, Heath Miller

Tier 3: NA, 

Tier 4: Coby Fleener, Zach Miller, Andrew Quarless, Tyler Eifert, Marcedes Lewis, Zach Ertz, Tim Wright, Scott Chandler, Ryan Griffin, Jared Cook, Logan Paulsen, Brandon Myers, Ladarius Green, Mychal Rivera

Tier 5: Jacob Tamme, Michael Hoomanawanui

Flex

Tier 1: Le'Veon Bell, Demaryius Thomas, Julian Edelman, Keenan Allen, Eddie Lacy

Tier 2: Knowshon Moreno, Reggie Bush, Jordy Nelson, Eric Decker

Tier 3: Zac Stacy, Kendall Wright, Vincent Jackson, DeSean Jackson, Shane Vereen, Adrian Peterson

Tier 4: Danny Amendola, Roddy White, Marques Colston, Jason Witten, Mike Wallace, Jordan Cameron

Tier 5: Marshawn Lynch, Giovani Bernard, Torrey Smith, Chris Johnson, Julius Thomas, Brian Hartline, Larry Fitzgerald

Tier 6: Greg Olsen, Michael Crabtree, Tony Gonzalez, Vernon Davis, Greg Jennings, Ty Hilton, Delanie Walker

Tier 7: Ryan Mathews, Anquan Boldin, Frank Gore, Harry Douglas, Rashad Jennings, Alfred Morris, James Jones

Tier 8: NA, 

Tier 9: Dwayne Bowe, Dennis Pitta, Ray Rice, Andre Brown, Bobby Rainey, Antonio Gates, Emmanuel Sanders

Tier 10: Steve Smith, Fred Jackson, Jarrett Boykin, Riley Cooper, Rod Streater, Jordan Todman

Tier 11: Hakeem Nicks, Charles Clay, Cordarrelle Patterson, Michael Floyd, Martellus Bennett, Pierre Thomas

Week 16 - Half PPR

RB

Tier 1: Jamaal Charles, LeSean McCoy, DeMarco Murray, Matt Forte
Tier 2: Eddie Lacy, Le'Veon Bell, Knowshon Moreno, Zac Stacy, Adrian Peterson, Reggie Bush
Tier 3: Marshawn Lynch, Chris Johnson, Alfred Morris, Shane Vereen, Frank Gore, Ryan Mathews, Giovani Bernard, Rashad Jennings, Bobby Rainey, Andre Brown, Ray Rice, Ben Tate
Tier 4: Fred Jackson, C.J. Spiller, Maurice Jones-Drew
Tier 5: Jordan Todman, Steven Jackson, Danny Woodhead, Pierre Thomas, DeAngelo Williams, Montee Ball, Darren Sproles
Tier 6: Christopher Ivory, Dennis Johnson, Andre Ellington, Lamar Miller, Joique Bell, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Donald Brown, Trent Richardson

WR

Tier 1: Calvin Johnson, Josh Gordon, A.J. Green, Brandon Marshall, Dez Bryant, Alshon Jeffery, Antonio Brown, Pierre Garcon, Andre Johnson, Demaryius Thomas
Tier 2: Keenan Allen, Julian Edelman, Jordy Nelson, Eric Decker, DeSean Jackson, Vincent Jackson
Tier 3: Kendall Wright, Marques Colston, Roddy White, Mike Wallace, Torrey Smith, Danny Amendola, Brian Hartline, Michael Crabtree, Larry Fitzgerald, Ty Hilton, Wes Welker
Tier 4: Greg Jennings, Anquan Boldin, James Jones, Harry Douglas, Dwayne Bowe, Victor Cruz
Tier 5: Emmanuel Sanders, Steve Smith, Riley Cooper, Jarrett Boykin, Rod Streater, Hakeem Nicks, Michael Floyd
Tier 6: Cordarrelle Patterson, Golden Tate, DeAndre Hopkins, Marvin Jones, Doug Baldwin, Rueben Randle, Nate Burleson, Steve Johnson, Andre Caldwell
Tier 7: NA, 
Tier 8: Ace Sanders, Da'Rick Rogers, Robert Woods, Aldrick Robinson, Denarius Moore, Jeremy Kerley, Aaron Dobson, Brandon LaFell, Santana Moss, Rishard Matthews, Marlon Brown

TE

Tier 1: Jimmy Graham, Julius Thomas, Vernon Davis, Jason Witten, Jordan Cameron, Greg Olsen, Delanie Walker, Tony Gonzalez

Tier 2: Dennis Pitta, Antonio Gates, Garrett Graham, Martellus Bennett, Charles Clay

Tier 3: Heath Miller, Zach Miller, Coby Fleener

Tier 4: Tyler Eifert, Zach Ertz, Andrew Quarless, Marcedes Lewis, Tim Wright, Ryan Griffin, Scott Chandler, Logan Paulsen, Brandon Myers, Jared Cook

Tier 5: Jacob Tamme, Michael Hoomanawanui, Brandon Pettigrew, Ladarius Green

Flex

Tier 1: Pierre Garcon, Andre Johnson, Demaryius Thomas, Knowshon Moreno, Zac Stacy, Keenan Allen, Julian Edelman, Adrian Peterson

Tier 2: Jordy Nelson, Reggie Bush, Eric Decker, Vincent Jackson, DeSean Jackson, Marshawn Lynch

Tier 3: NA, 

Tier 4: Marques Colston, Chris Johnson, Julius Thomas, Mike Wallace, Kendall Wright, Roddy White, Alfred Morris, Torrey Smith, Vernon Davis, Jason Witten, Frank Gore, Shane Vereen, Ryan Mathews, Giovani Bernard, Danny Amendola, Jordan Cameron

Tier 5: Rashad Jennings, Michael Crabtree, Brian Hartline, Larry Fitzgerald, Greg Olsen, Bobby Rainey, Ty Hilton

Tier 6: Delanie Walker, Greg Jennings, Tony Gonzalez, Andre Brown, Anquan Boldin, Ray Rice, James Jones

Tier 7: Fred Jackson, Harry Douglas, Dennis Pitta, Dwayne Bowe

Tier 8: Antonio Gates, Emmanuel Sanders, Riley Cooper, Steve Smith, C.J. Spiller, Jarrett Boykin

Tier 9: Steven Jackson, Hakeem Nicks, Rod Streater, Danny Woodhead, Michael Floyd, Charles Clay, Jordan Todman

Week 15 - Tiers

Here are the links to the charts which will be updated Thursday, December 12th are now live: 

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/sports/football/2013-fantasy-football-tier-charts-QB.html

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/sports/football/2013-fantasy-football-tier-charts-RB.html
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/sports/football/2013-fantasy-football-tier-charts-WR.html
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/sports/football/2013-fantasy-football-tier-charts-TE.html
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/sports/football/2013-fantasy-football-tier-charts-K.html
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/sports/football/2013-fantasy-football-tier-charts-D.html

Note: If you go through any external link, like these above, you won't have paywall issues. Right click each > open in new tab. You can also use incognito mode.

While we're waiting for the charts to go live, FLEX won't be posted on NYT, so here they are (only FLEX15 - FLEX75 are shown):

Tier 1: Brandon Marshall, A.J. Green, Andre Johnson
Tier 2: Alfred Morris, Eric Decker, Shane Vereen, Antonio Brown, DeSean Jackson
Tier 3: Andre Brown, Keenan Allen, Jordy Nelson, Julius Thomas, Ben Tate
Tier 4: Le'Veon Bell, Roddy White, Steven Jackson, Torrey Smith, Pierre Garcon, Larry Fitzgerald, Vincent Jackson, Riley Cooper
Tier 5: Marques Colston
Tier 6: Julian Edelman, Frank Gore, Bobby Rainey, Maurice Jones-Drew, Reggie Bush, Toby Gerhart
Tier 7: Ryan Mathews, Cecil Shorts
Tier 8: Vernon Davis, Greg Olsen, C.J. Spiller, Rashad Jennings, Giovani Bernard
Tier 9: Jordan Cameron, Harry Douglas, Mike Wallace
Tier 10: Dwayne Bowe, Steve Smith, Jason Witten, Victor Cruz, Chris Johnson, Tony Gonzalez, Fred Jackson
Tier 11: Brian Hartline, Ty Hilton, James Jones, Steve Johnson
Tier 12: Montee Ball, Pierre Thomas, Charles Clay, Rod Streater, Anquan Boldin, Ray Rice, Antonio Gates
Tier 13: Michael Floyd, Rashard Mendenhall, Danny Woodhead, Michael Crabtree, Delanie Walker

Summary (for first time readers):

My model takes an aggregation of expert rankings from fantasypros, and passes the data into a machine learning clustering algorithm called a gaussian mixture model. Then, I plot each player in the two dimensional space of weighted expert consensus rank (ECR) and raw average rank, and color them by the tier determined by the algorithm. Match-ups are accounted for.  The result is beautiful charts and tiers that help you set your line up.

Why the model is powerful: Every week, fantasypros collects data from over 130 experts, each of whom watch and analyze football for a living. Both fantasypros and my model build on the intuition that an aggregation of many expert opinions provides more reliable rankings than what any one expert can predict.

On top of this, the clustering algorithm is able to identify players that are ranked similarly in the data and find natural tiers among the players. It is not always the case that QB3 > QB4 > QB5.  Sometimes they are equal, and the algorithm uncovers this.

How to use the charts: Each black dot represents the player's average rank and weighted ECR. The color corresponds to the tier given by the algorithm. I recommend starting players in higher tiers.

Within a tier, most player will appear close together. This means experts are near 50/50 on who is better this week. The tiering algorithm says these players are equals this week. In this case, I recommend flipping a coin, or going with your gut.  If experts can't agree, there is no right answer.

As always, you can catch my updates on twitter.

Week 15 - PPR

RB

Tier 1: LeSean McCoy, Jamaal Charles, Matt Forte, Shane Vereen, DeMarco Murray
Tier 2: Knowshon Moreno, Eddie Lacy, Le'Veon Bell, Marshawn Lynch, Andre Brown, Zac Stacy
Tier 3: Reggie Bush, Ben Tate, Steven Jackson, Maurice Jones-Drew, Pierre Thomas
Tier 4: Giovani Bernard, Alfred Morris, Bobby Rainey, Ryan Mathews, Rashad Jennings, Chris Johnson, Fred Jackson, C.J. Spiller, Frank Gore, Toby Gerhart, Danny Woodhead, Adrian Peterson
Tier 5: Ray Rice, Darren Sproles, Andre Ellington, Montee Ball
Tier 6: Chris Ogbonnaya, Joique Bell, Donald Brown, Rashard Mendenhall
Tier 7: Lamar Miller, Daniel Thomas, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Marcel Reece

WR

Tier 1: Calvin Johnson, Josh Gordon, Andre Johnson, Demaryius Thomas, Brandon Marshall, Dez Bryant, Alshon Jeffery, Antonio Brown, A.J. Green
Tier 2: Eric Decker, Keenan Allen, Roddy White, Pierre Garcon, Jordy Nelson, DeSean Jackson
Tier 3: Julian Edelman, Larry Fitzgerald, Vincent Jackson, Marques Colston, Harry Douglas, Torrey Smith, Cecil Shorts, Riley Cooper, Wes Welker
Tier 4: Dwayne Bowe, Victor Cruz, Kendall Wright, Brian Hartline, Steve Smith
Tier 5: Danny Amendola, James Jones, Steve Johnson, Greg Jennings, Mike Wallace, Rod Streater, Cordarrelle Patterson, Anquan Boldin, Ty Hilton, Michael Crabtree
Tier 6: Michael Floyd, Jarrett Boykin, Nate Burleson, Emmanuel Sanders, Ace Sanders, Golden Tate, Brandon LaFell
Tier 7: DeAndre Hopkins, Doug Baldwin, Andre Holmes, Hakeem Nicks, Da'Rick Rogers, Dexter McCluster, Marlon Brown, Jeremy Kerley, Denarius Moore
Tier 8: Justin Hunter, Jacoby Jones, Tavon Austin, Rueben Randle, Jerricho Cotchery

TE

Tier 1: Jimmy Graham, Julius Thomas, Jordan Cameron, Greg Olsen, Tony Gonzalez

Tier 2: Jason Witten, Charles Clay, Antonio Gates, Vernon Davis, Delanie Walker, Dennis Pitta, Garrett Graham, Jordan Reed

Tier 3: Coby Fleener, Heath Miller, Jacob Tamme, Martellus Bennett

Tier 4: Scott Chandler, Jared Cook, Robert Housler, Brandon Myers, Owen Daniels

Tier 5: Zach Ertz, John Carlson, Andrew Quarless, Zach Miller, Ladarius Green, Sean McGrath, Mychal Rivera, Jermaine Gresham

Flex

Tier 1: A.J. Green, Eric Decker, Knowshon Moreno, Eddie Lacy, Keenan Allen

Tier 2: Roddy White, Pierre Garcon, Jordy Nelson, DeSean Jackson

Tier 3: Andre Brown, Julian Edelman, Marshawn Lynch, Julius Thomas, Le'Veon Bell, Larry Fitzgerald, Vincent Jackson

Tier 4: Marques Colston, Jordan Cameron, Zac Stacy, Torrey Smith, Harry Douglas, Cecil Shorts, Riley Cooper

Tier 5: Greg Olsen, Tony Gonzalez

Tier 6: Jason Witten, Victor Cruz, Dwayne Bowe, Charles Clay, Reggie Bush

Tier 7: Kendall Wright, Brian Hartline, Steve Smith, Steven Jackson, Ben Tate, Antonio Gates, Maurice Jones-Drew

Tier 8: Vernon Davis, Danny Amendola, Pierre Thomas, Mike Wallace, Steve Johnson

Tier 9: Rod Streater, Alfred Morris, James Jones, Anquan Boldin, Giovani Bernard, Greg Jennings

Tier 10: Bobby Rainey, Michael Crabtree, Cordarrelle Patterson, Ty Hilton, Ryan Mathews, Delanie Walker

Tier 11: Chris Johnson, Rashad Jennings, Dennis Pitta, Michael Floyd, C.J. Spiller, Fred Jackson, Frank Gore

Week 15 - Half PPR

RB

Tier 1: Jamaal Charles, LeSean McCoy, Matt Forte
Tier 2: DeMarco Murray, Shane Vereen, Knowshon Moreno, Eddie Lacy, Marshawn Lynch, Zac Stacy, Andre Brown
Tier 3: Le'Veon Bell, Ben Tate, Alfred Morris, Steven Jackson, Reggie Bush, Adrian Peterson
Tier 4: Maurice Jones-Drew, Bobby Rainey, Giovani Bernard, Frank Gore, Rashad Jennings, Ryan Mathews, Toby Gerhart, C.J. Spiller, Chris Johnson, Pierre Thomas, Fred Jackson, Danny Woodhead
Tier 5: Ray Rice, Montee Ball, Andre Ellington, Darren Sproles, Rashard Mendenhall, Donald Brown
Tier 6: Joique Bell, Chris Ogbonnaya, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Daniel Thomas, Lamar Miller, Stevan Ridley

WR

Tier 1: Calvin Johnson, Josh Gordon, Demaryius Thomas, Andre Johnson, Brandon Marshall, Alshon Jeffery, Dez Bryant, A.J. Green, Antonio Brown, Eric Decker
Tier 2: Keenan Allen, Jordy Nelson, DeSean Jackson, Roddy White, Pierre Garcon
Tier 3: Vincent Jackson, Larry Fitzgerald, Julian Edelman, Torrey Smith, Riley Cooper, Marques Colston, Cecil Shorts, Harry Douglas, Wes Welker
Tier 4: Victor Cruz, Steve Smith, Dwayne Bowe, Brian Hartline, Mike Wallace, James Jones
Tier 5: Kendall Wright, Steve Johnson, Ty Hilton, Greg Jennings, Rod Streater, Anquan Boldin, Cordarrelle Patterson, Michael Crabtree, Danny Amendola, Michael Floyd
Tier 6: Jarrett Boykin, Golden Tate, Ace Sanders, Emmanuel Sanders, Nate Burleson, Brandon LaFell
Tier 7: DeAndre Hopkins, Andre Holmes, Hakeem Nicks, Da'Rick Rogers, Doug Baldwin, Dexter McCluster, Denarius Moore
Tier 8: Marlon Brown, Justin Hunter, Jacoby Jones, Jeremy Kerley, Rueben Randle, Jerricho Cotchery, Jerome Simpson

TE

Tier 1: Jimmy Graham, Julius Thomas

Tier 2: Jordan Cameron, Greg Olsen, Tony Gonzalez, Jason Witten, Antonio Gates, Vernon Davis, Charles Clay, Delanie Walker, Dennis Pitta

Tier 3: Garrett Graham, Jordan Reed, Coby Fleener, Jacob Tamme, Heath Miller, Martellus Bennett

Tier 4: Zach Ertz, Scott Chandler, Jared Cook, Zach Miller, Brandon Myers, Robert Housler, Ladarius Green, Tim Wright

Tier 5: Andrew Quarless, John Carlson, Sean McGrath, Jermaine Gresham, Mychal Rivera

Flex

Tier 1: A.J. Green, Eddie Lacy, Antonio Brown, Eric Decker, Marshawn Lynch

Tier 2: Keenan Allen, Zac Stacy, Jordy Nelson, DeSean Jackson, Andre Brown, Julius Thomas, Roddy White, Pierre Garcon

Tier 3: Le'Veon Bell, Vincent Jackson, Larry Fitzgerald, Julian Edelman, Torrey Smith, Marques Colston, Riley Cooper

Tier 4: Jordan Cameron, Cecil Shorts, Ben Tate, Alfred Morris, Harry Douglas, Steven Jackson, Greg Olsen

Tier 5: Tony Gonzalez, Jason Witten, Reggie Bush, Maurice Jones-Drew

Tier 6: Victor Cruz, Steve Smith, Bobby Rainey, Dwayne Bowe, Vernon Davis

Tier 7: Antonio Gates, Brian Hartline, Giovani Bernard, Charles Clay, Mike Wallace, Rashad Jennings, Frank Gore, James Jones, Ryan Mathews, Toby Gerhart

Tier 8: C.J. Spiller, Kendall Wright, Chris Johnson, Steve Johnson, Pierre Thomas, Ty Hilton, Fred Jackson, Rod Streater

Tier 9: Anquan Boldin, Greg Jennings, Michael Crabtree, Cordarrelle Patterson, Danny Amendola, Delanie Walker, Michael Floyd

Week 14 Tiers

While we're waiting for the charts to go live, I'll answer lineup questions on twitter, @borisachen.

Week 14 charts will be posted on the NYTimes on Thursday December 5th, check back for the links.

edit 3:15 pm: Charts are live!

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/sports/football/2013-fantasy-football-tier-charts-QB.html

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/sports/football/2013-fantasy-football-tier-charts-RB.html
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/sports/football/2013-fantasy-football-tier-charts-WR.html
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/sports/football/2013-fantasy-football-tier-charts-TE.html
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/sports/football/2013-fantasy-football-tier-charts-K.html
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/sports/football/2013-fantasy-football-tier-charts-D.html

Note: If you go through any external link, like these above, you won't have paywall issues. Right click each > open in new tab. You can also use incognito mode.

edit: 3:28 pm: Flex won't be posted on NYT, so here they are:

Tier 1: LeSean McCoy, Andre Johnson, Josh Gordon
Tier 2: Vincent Jackson, DeSean Jackson, Jimmy Graham, Ben Tate, Demaryius Thomas, Le'Veon Bell, Torrey Smith, Reggie Bush, Antonio Brown, Chris Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald
Tier 3: Pierre Garcon, Keenan Allen, Alfred Morris, Victor Cruz, Shane Vereen, Maurice Jones-Drew
Tier 4: NA, 
Tier 5: Jordy Nelson, Eric Decker, Ray Rice, Harry Douglas, Wes Welker, Riley Cooper, Bobby Rainey, Zac Stacy, Michael Floyd, Frank Gore
Tier 6: Jason Witten, Kendall Wright, Steven Jackson, Roddy White
Tier 7: Mike Wallace, Julian Edelman, C.J. Spiller, Tony Gonzalez, Cecil Shorts, Ty Hilton, Vernon Davis, Giovani Bernard, Julius Thomas
Tier 8: Fred Jackson, Dwayne Bowe, Lamar Miller, Steve Johnson, Rashad Jennings, Marques Colston, Donald Brown, Nate Burleson, Christopher Ivory
Tier 9: Steve Smith, Brian Hartline, Rashard Mendenhall, Garrett Graham, Greg Olsen, Antonio Gates
Tier 10: James Jones, Coby Fleener, Ryan Mathews

Summary (for first time readers):

My model takes an aggregation of expert rankings from fantasypros, and passes the data into a machine learning clustering algorithm called a gaussian mixture model. Then, I plot each player in the two dimensional space of weighted expert consensus rank (ECR) and raw average rank, and color them by the tier determined by the algorithm. Match-ups are accounted for.  The result is beautiful charts and tiers that help you set your line up.

Why the model is powerful: Every week, fantasypros collects data from over 130 experts, each of whom watch and analyze football for a living. Both fantasypros and my model build on the intuition that an aggregation of many expert opinions provides more reliable rankings than what any one expert can predict.

On top of this, the clustering algorithm is able to identify players that are ranked similarly in the data and find natural tiers among the players. It is not always the case that QB3 > QB4 > QB5.  Sometimes they are equal, and the algorithm uncovers this.

How to use the charts: Each black dot represents the player's average rank and weighted ECR. The color corresponds to the tier given by the algorithm. I recommend starting players in higher tiers.

Within a tier, most player will appear close together. This means experts are near 50/50 on who is better this week. The tiering algorithm says these players are equals this week. In this case, I recommend flipping a coin, or going with your gut.  If experts can't agree, there is no right answer.

As always, you can catch my updates on twitter.

Week 14 - PPR

RB

Tier 1: Matt Forte, Jamaal Charles, DeMarco Murray
Tier 2: Eddie Lacy, Andre Brown, Knowshon Moreno, Reggie Bush, Adrian Peterson, LeSean McCoy, Shane Vereen
Tier 3: Le'Veon Bell, Marshawn Lynch, Ben Tate, Chris Johnson, Ray Rice, Maurice Jones-Drew
Tier 4: Giovani Bernard, Zac Stacy, Steven Jackson
Tier 5: Bobby Rainey, C.J. Spiller, Alfred Morris, Frank Gore
Tier 6: Pierre Thomas, Danny Woodhead, Fred Jackson, Darren Sproles, Rashad Jennings, Lamar Miller, Donald Brown
Tier 7: Ryan Mathews, Montee Ball, Joique Bell, Andre Ellington, Rashard Mendenhall, Christopher Ivory
Tier 8: Chris Ogbonnaya, Bilal Powell, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Mike Tolbert

WR

Tier 1: Calvin Johnson, Brandon Marshall, A.J. Green, Dez Bryant, Andre Johnson, Josh Gordon, Alshon Jeffery

Tier 2: Antonio Brown, Demaryius Thomas, Vincent Jackson

Tier 3: Pierre Garcon, Keenan Allen, Torrey Smith, Kendall Wright, Victor Cruz, Harry Douglas, Larry Fitzgerald, DeSean Jackson, Wes Welker

Tier 4: Jordy Nelson, Eric Decker, Julian Edelman, Michael Floyd, Roddy White, Cecil Shorts

Tier 5: Riley Cooper, Nate Burleson, Ty Hilton, Mike Wallace

Tier 6: Steve Johnson, Dwayne Bowe, Marques Colston, Brian Hartline, Steve Smith

Tier 7: Anquan Boldin, James Jones, Emmanuel Sanders, Danny Amendola, Jarrett Boykin, Golden Tate, Hakeem Nicks, Denarius Moore

Tier 8: Michael Crabtree, Rod Streater, Jacoby Jones, Rueben Randle, Doug Baldwin, Brandon LaFell, DeAndre Hopkins, Cordarrelle Patterson, Dexter McCluster

Tier 9: Tiquan Underwood, Nate Washington, Ace Sanders, Marlon Brown, Kris Durham, Tavon Austin, Kenbrell Thompkins, Robert Woods

Tier 10: Andre Holmes

TE

Tier 1: Rob Gronkowski, Jimmy Graham, Jason Witten

Tier 2: Tony Gonzalez, Garrett Graham, Julius Thomas, Antonio Gates, Jordan Reed, Vernon Davis, Coby Fleener

Tier 3: Greg Olsen, Jordan Cameron

Tier 4: Delanie Walker, Jared Cook, Heath Miller, Martellus Bennett

Tier 5: Ladarius Green, Charles Clay

Tier 6: Tim Wright, Robert Housler, John Carlson

Tier 7: Anthony Fasano, Brandon Myers, Scott Chandler, Zach Ertz, Dennis Pitta, Zach Miller

Tier 8: Tyler Eifert, Jacob Tamme, Marcedes Lewis

Flex

Tier 1: Andre Brown, Demaryius Thomas, Vincent Jackson, Knowshon Moreno
Tier 2: Pierre Garcon, Adrian Peterson, Reggie Bush, Keenan Allen, Shane Vereen, LeSean McCoy, Torrey Smith
Tier 3: Kendall Wright, Larry Fitzgerald, Harry Douglas, Victor Cruz, DeSean Jackson
Tier 4: Wes Welker, Jason Witten, Le'Veon Bell, Marshawn Lynch, Jordy Nelson
Tier 5: Eric Decker, Ben Tate, Chris Johnson, Michael Floyd, Julian Edelman, Cecil Shorts, Roddy White, Tony Gonzalez
Tier 6: Riley Cooper, Maurice Jones-Drew, Ray Rice, Nate Burleson, Ty Hilton, Mike Wallace
Tier 7: Steve Johnson, Julius Thomas
Tier 8: Dwayne Bowe, Zac Stacy, Garrett Graham, Marques Colston, Giovani Bernard, Antonio Gates, Brian Hartline, Jordan Reed
Tier 9: Steve Smith, Steven Jackson, Vernon Davis, Coby Fleener, Bobby Rainey, C.J. Spiller
Tier 10: Frank Gore, Greg Olsen, Alfred Morris
Tier 11: Anquan Boldin, James Jones, Jordan Cameron, Pierre Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders, Fred Jackson, Jarrett Boykin

Week 14 - Half PPR

RB

Tier 1: Jamaal Charles, Matt Forte, DeMarco Murray, Eddie Lacy, Adrian Peterson, Knowshon Moreno, Andre Brown
Tier 2: Reggie Bush, LeSean McCoy, Marshawn Lynch, Shane Vereen, Le'Veon Bell, Ben Tate, Chris Johnson
Tier 3: Ray Rice
Tier 4: Maurice Jones-Drew, Zac Stacy, Alfred Morris, Bobby Rainey, Frank Gore, Steven Jackson, Giovani Bernard, C.J. Spiller
Tier 5: Fred Jackson, Lamar Miller, Rashad Jennings, Donald Brown, Danny Woodhead, Pierre Thomas
Tier 6: Darren Sproles, Christopher Ivory, Rashard Mendenhall, Ryan Mathews, Montee Ball, Joique Bell, Andre Ellington
Tier 7: BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Chris Ogbonnaya, LeGarrette Blount, Bilal Powell

WR

Tier 1: Calvin Johnson, Brandon Marshall, A.J. Green, Dez Bryant, Andre Johnson, Alshon Jeffery, Josh Gordon, Vincent Jackson, Antonio Brown

Tier 2: Demaryius Thomas, Torrey Smith, DeSean Jackson, Pierre Garcon, Keenan Allen, Larry Fitzgerald, Victor Cruz, Harry Douglas, Kendall Wright

Tier 3: Wes Welker, Jordy Nelson, Eric Decker, Michael Floyd, Julian Edelman, Roddy White

Tier 4: Cecil Shorts, Riley Cooper, Ty Hilton

Tier 5: Mike Wallace, Nate Burleson, Steve Johnson, Marques Colston, Dwayne Bowe, Steve Smith, Brian Hartline

Tier 6: Anquan Boldin, James Jones, Emmanuel Sanders, Golden Tate, Jarrett Boykin, Hakeem Nicks, Denarius Moore, Danny Amendola

Tier 7: Rod Streater, Rueben Randle, Jacoby Jones, Doug Baldwin, Michael Crabtree, Brandon LaFell, DeAndre Hopkins, Tiquan Underwood, Cordarrelle Patterson, Kenbrell Thompkins, Marlon Brown, Kris Durham, Nate Washington, Robert Woods, Dexter McCluster, Tavon Austin

Tier 8: Ace Sanders, Andre Holmes

TE

Tier 1: Rob Gronkowski, Jimmy Graham, Jason Witten

Tier 2: Tony Gonzalez, Julius Thomas, Garrett Graham, Vernon Davis, Antonio Gates, Jordan Reed, Greg Olsen, Coby Fleener, Delanie Walker, Jordan Cameron

Tier 3: Jared Cook, Martellus Bennett, Heath Miller, Ladarius Green, Charles Clay, Tim Wright

Tier 4: Anthony Fasano, Robert Housler, Brandon Myers, John Carlson, Scott Chandler, Tyler Eifert, Zach Ertz, Dennis Pitta, Jermaine Gresham, Brandon Pettigrew

Tier 5: Jacob Tamme

Flex

Tier 1: Josh Gordon, Jimmy Graham, Vincent Jackson, Antonio Brown, Demaryius Thomas
Tier 2: LeSean McCoy, Marshawn Lynch, Reggie Bush, Torrey Smith, Pierre Garcon, DeSean Jackson
Tier 3: Keenan Allen, Shane Vereen, Larry Fitzgerald, Victor Cruz, Ben Tate, Le'Veon Bell, Harry Douglas
Tier 4: Chris Johnson, Kendall Wright, Wes Welker, Jason Witten, Jordy Nelson, Eric Decker
Tier 5: Michael Floyd, Ray Rice, Julian Edelman, Maurice Jones-Drew, Roddy White, Riley Cooper, Cecil Shorts, Tony Gonzalez
Tier 6: Ty Hilton, Zac Stacy, Mike Wallace, Alfred Morris, Julius Thomas
Tier 7: Bobby Rainey, Nate Burleson, Frank Gore
Tier 8: Steven Jackson, Steve Johnson, Giovani Bernard, Dwayne Bowe, Marques Colston, C.J. Spiller, Vernon Davis
Tier 9: Garrett Graham, Antonio Gates, Steve Smith, Brian Hartline, Jordan Reed
Tier 10: Greg Olsen, Coby Fleener, Fred Jackson, Rashad Jennings, Lamar Miller, Anquan Boldin, James Jones, Emmanuel Sanders, Donald Brown