Here are the accuracy results (accuracy = percentage of time a higher tier results in a higher median score than a lower tier) since week 6:
| Week | QB | RB | WR | TE | K | DST |
| 7 | 90 | 80 | 86.7 | 80 | 50 | 83.3 |
| 8 | 100 | 90 | 73.3 | 86.7 | 83.3 | 100 |
| 10 | 90 | 86.7 | 71.4 | 60 | 33.3 | 50 |
| 11 | 90 | 90 | 86.7 | 80 | 66.7 | 83.3 |
| Average | 83.3 | 91.1 | 82.5 | 78.3 | 63.9 | 79.4 |
So far, we see that RB is the most predictable, followed by QB and WR, followed by TE and DST, and finally K is the least predictable. At least predicting kickers is slightly better than random (random guessing yields 50% accuracy).
Updates from last week:
- Fixed DST scoring. Wasn't account for points allowed previously.
QB
Tier 1 median: 25.6
Tier 2 median: 19.5
Tier 3 median: 16.8
Tier 4 median: 18.9
Tier 5 median: 7.8
Accuracy = 90
RB
Tier 1 median: 8.6
Tier 2 median: 9.3
Tier 3 median: 8.4
Tier 4 median: 6.8
Tier 5 median: 4.5
Accuracy = 90
WR
Tier 1 median: 9.9
Tier 2 median: 9.6
Tier 3 median: 4.8
Tier 4 median: 6.5
Tier 5 median: 2.1
Tier 6 median: 2.3
Accuracy = 86.7
TE
Tier 1 median: 8
Tier 2 median: 7.2
Tier 3 median: 8.7
Tier 4 median: 6.9
Tier 5 median: 3.1
Tier 6 median: 4.2
Accuracy = 80
Tier 1 median: 9
Tier 2 median: 8.5
Tier 3 median: 11
Tier 4 median: 8
Accuracy = 66.7
DST
Tier 1 median: 12
Tier 2 median: 6
Tier 3 median: 4
Tier 5 median: 6
Accuracy = 83.3
