Week 8 - Retrospective

Summary: TE / K still noisy.  QB / RB / WR tiers continue to hold.  Tier 1 DST disappoint.

QB
Tier 1 median: 33.4
Tier 2 median: 20.4
Tier 3 median: 18.4
Tier 4 median: 15.5

Nailed it!


RB
Tier 1 median: 15.8
Tier 2 median: 12.6
Tier 3 median: 9.4
Tier 4 median: 2.9
Tier 5 median: 8.7

Pretty good, except tier 4.  Should have probably rerun the model with injured players removed.


WR
Tier 1 median: 10.1
Tier 2 median: 5.1
Tier 3 median: 8.2
Tier 4 median: 2.1
Tier 5 median: 2.1
Tier 6 median: 6.7

Tier 1, 2 and 3 have been substantially higher than tiers 4+ in the last three weeks. The consistency of the top group, which is typically the top 20-23 wide outs each week, makes a convincing argument for targeting those players in trades.



TE
Tier 1 median: 2.9
Tier 2 median: 5
Tier 3 median: 4.4
Tier 4 median: 2.3
Tier 5 median: 3

There was some rhyme and reason to tier 2, 3 and 4, but the amount of variation in the TE position continues to impress me. The most plausible explanation is that tight ends tend to rely on touchdowns for fantasy production, and predicting which tight ends will catch touchdowns each week is rather hard to predict.


K
Tier 1 median: 9
Tier 2 median: 6.5
Tier 3 median: 7
Tier 4 median: 8
Tier 5 median: 5

Kickers remain noisy, for all three weeks I've been doing this retrospective.  This is early indication that kickers may not be worth waiver claims.


DST
Tier 1 median: 5
Tier 2 median: 9
Tier 3 median: 6
Tier 4 median: 5
Tier 5 median: 7

The tier 1 DST's really disappointed this week.  Outside of tier 1 and an outlier performance from the Redskins, things didn't look too bad here.